Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Heather Watson will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.88
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Heather Watson
This will be the 2nd time that Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Heather Watson clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Watson (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Watson won 6-2 3-6 6-1 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
23 - 21win/loss
146
29
LWLWWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-23 | 10-12 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 16-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-21 | 18-10 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 11-9 | 8-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-12 | 9-6 | 10-5 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 101, Aliaksandra reached the qualifications after beating Harmony Tan 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, Aliaksandra had a good straight sets win against Tan (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sasnovich scored 59 points vs Tan’s 39. Sasnovich was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sasnovich scored just 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Aliaksandra Sasnovich lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sasnovich put 57% of her first serves in, winning 75% (21/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Sasnovich broke Tan 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Sasnovich has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (275-227). 7-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sasnovich has an overall 138-110 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Belarussian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Budapest.
Aliaksandra has a compiled 22-21 win-loss record in 2024, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Heather Watson
18 - 16win/loss
142
38
LLWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-20 | 16-11 | 1-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 191, heather got to the qualifications after defeating Clervie Ngounoue 6-1 6-1.
In the qualifications, Heather had a good straight sets win against Ngounoue (6-1 6-1). During the match Watson scored 61 points vs Ngounoue’s 37. Watson was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
About the serving games, Watson recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Heather Watson lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 52% of her first serves in, winning 83% (20/24) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. Watson broke Ngounoue 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Her best result of the year was winning the title the W50 Nottingham where she beat Manon Leonard in the final 6-3 6-0.
Heather has a compiled 18-15 win-loss record in 2024, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2020 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sasnovich | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 14 |
| Pts | 59-39 | 61-37 |
| Total Points | 98 | 98 |
| Winners | 21 | 20 |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% |
Both Sasnovich and Watson played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sasnovich and Watson have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sasnovich played 3 games more than Watson. The Belarussian scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 20 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sasnovich | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 24/46 |
| %1st in | 57% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 20/24 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 8/22 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 36% |
Sasnovich managed to score 1 ace . Watson also managed to score 4 aces . Sasnovich won 75% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Watson won 83% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sasnovich | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 86% | 60% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Sasnovich broke her opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. The Belarussian dropped her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Brit broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Watson conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sasnovich | |||
| Q1 Tan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 59-39 | 59-39 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 9/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Watson | |||
| Q1 Ngounoue |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | |
| pts | 61-37 | 61-37 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/46 | 24/46 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 20/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/22 | 8/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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