Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the final of the Western & Southern Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.31
Frances Tiafoe -> 3.58
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Frances Tiafoe
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Vienna back in 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe – Vienna 27-October-2023
Jannik Sinner
47 - 5win/loss
1
1
WWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-5 | 22-2 | 11-2 | 5-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Alex Michelsen 6-4 7-5, Jordan Thompson w/o, Andrey Rublev 4-6 7-5 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, Sinner defeated Zverev (7-69 5-7 7-64). During the match, Sinner scored 124 points vs Zverev’s 121. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (51/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (29/45) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Zverev twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (320-118). 22-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed120-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he beat Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2).
The Italian has an aggregate 47-5 win-loss record in 2024, 22-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Frances Tiafoe
24 - 19win/loss
27
10
WWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 15-9 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Francis got to the final after defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 7-6(6), Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-2, Jiri Lehecka 6-4 6-7(10) 7-6(5), Hubert Hurkacz 6-3 ret. and Holger Rune 4-6 6-1 7-6(4).
In the semifinal against Rune, Tiafoe recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-64). During the match Tiafoe scored 98 points vs Rune’s 83. Tiafoe was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Tiafoe managed to score 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Francis broke Rune 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francis has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Francis’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Houston.
The American has an aggregate 24-19 win-loss record in 2024, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 92 | 114 |
| Pts | 321-295 | 399-336 |
| Total Points | 616 | 735 |
| Winners | 118 | 141 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Sinner played 3 matches while Tiafoe competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 2 sets, while Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than Tiafoe (8 vs 12). Therefore, Sinner played 22 games less than Tiafoe. Sinner scored 118 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 141 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 7.2 |
| 1st in | 158/291 | 176/345 |
| %1st in | 54% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 118/158 | 141/176 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 74/133 | 101/169 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 60% |
Sinner struck 31 aces (10.3 per match). Tiafoe blasted 36 aces (7.2 per match). Sinner won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 15 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 15/44 |
| % Converted | 40% | 34% |
| Conceded | 22 | 18 |
| Saved | 14 | 13 |
| % Saved | 64% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
Sinner broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 15 times with a 34% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||
| R2 Michelsen |
R3 Thompson |
1/4 Rublev |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | w/o | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 7-69 5-7 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | – | 32 | 38 | 92 | |
| pts | 86-73 | – | 111-101 | 124-121 | 321-295 | |
| Total points | 159 | – | 212 | 245 | 616 | |
| Winners | 31 | – | 36 | 51 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 36% | – | 32% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | – | 10 | 12 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | – | 5 | 1 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 42/83 | – | 43/90 | 73/118 | 158/291 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | – | 48% | 62% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | – | 36/43 | 51/73 | 118/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | – | 84% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/41 | – | 20/47 | 29/45 | 74/133 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | – | 43% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | – | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | – | 6/16 | 2/4 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 40% | – | 38% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 8 | – | 9 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | – | 4/9 | 2/5 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 44% | 40% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | – | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tiafoe | |||||||
| R1 Davidovich Fokina |
R2 Musetti |
R3 Lehecka |
1/4 Hurkacz |
1/2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-66 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-710 7-65 | 6-3 ret. | 4-6 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 36 | 9 | 30 | 114 | |
| pts | 82-70 | 61-40 | 129-121 | 29-22 | 98-83 | 399-336 | |
| Total points | 152 | 101 | 250 | 51 | 181 | 735 | |
| Winners | 20 | 26 | 47 | 12 | 36 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 24% | 43% | 36% | 41% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 26/67 | 31/41 | 58/120 | 15/25 | 46/92 | 176/345 | |
| % 1st in | 39% | 76% | 48% | 60% | 50% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 26/31 | 47/58 | 12/15 | 36/46 | 141/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 84% | 81% | 80% | 78% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/41 | 6/10 | 38/62 | 6/10 | 28/46 | 101/169 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 60% | 61% | 60% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/12 | 2/8 | 2/4 | 3/6 | 15/44 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 2/2 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 86% | 100% | 67% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-1) – H2H and prediction
