Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.615
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Paula Badosa Gibert fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Pegula won 6-3 7-6(6) in the quarter in Charleston back in 2023.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Paula Badosa Gibert – Charleston 07-April-2023
Jessica Pegula
30 - 10win/loss
6
3
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Karolina Muchova 5-7 6-4 6-2, Taylor Townsend 6-2 6-3 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 6-7(1) 7-6(3).
In the quarter, The American defeated Annie Fernandez (7-5 6-71 7-63). During the match, Pegula scored 133 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 126. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula made 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 6 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 66% of her first serves in, winning 63% (49/78) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (19/41) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Annie Fernandez 7 times after converting 47% of her break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (327-175). 19-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an aggregate 205-95 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
Jessica has a compiled 29-10 win-loss record in 2024, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Paula Badosa Gibert
26 - 15win/loss
11
2
LWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-18 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Peyton Stearns 6-2 7-5, Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 6-4 6-4 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Paula had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 59 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 38. Paula was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa bagged 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (19/23) of her 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Badosa was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Pavlyuchenkova 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Washington where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
Paula has a compiled 26-14 win-loss record in 2024, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Cincinnati
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 74 |
| Pts | 293-248 | 265-199 |
| Total Points | 541 | 464 |
| Winners | 108 | 100 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Pegula played 3 matches while Badosa competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula dropped 2 sets while Paula Badosa Gibert hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Pegula played 11 games more than Badosa. Jessica scored 108 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Paula blasted 100 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 6 |
| 1st in | 161/251 | 126/240 |
| %1st in | 64% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 108/161 | 100/126 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 49/90 | 54/114 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Pegula bagged 7 aces (2.3 per match). Badosa blasted 24 aces (6 per match). Pegula won 67% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 79% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 17 |
| Converted | 17/35 | 17/34 |
| % Converted | 49% | 50% |
| Conceded | 29 | 19 |
| Saved | 19 | 13 |
| % Saved | 66% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
The American broke her opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Pegula dropped her serve 10 times and she saved 66% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 17 times with a 50% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Muchova |
R3 Townsend |
1/4 Annie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-71 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 | 38 | 85 | |
| pts | 97-84 | 63-38 | 133-126 | 293-248 | |
| Total points | 181 | 101 | 259 | 541 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 49 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 46% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/83 | 33/49 | 78/119 | 161/251 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 67% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/50 | 29/33 | 49/78 | 108/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 88% | 63% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/33 | 8/16 | 19/41 | 49/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 50% | 46% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 4/5 | 7/15 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 80% | 47% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 4 | 15 | 29 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 4/4 | 9/15 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 60% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R1 Stearns |
R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Putintseva |
1/4 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 74 | |
| pts | 73-54 | 59-44 | 74-63 | 59-38 | 265-199 | |
| Total points | 127 | 103 | 137 | 97 | 464 | |
| Winners | 26 | 29 | 26 | 19 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% | 35% | 32% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 30/58 | 34/59 | 39/71 | 23/52 | 126/240 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 55% | 44% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 29/34 | 26/39 | 19/23 | 100/126 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 85% | 67% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 10/25 | 14/32 | 18/29 | 54/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 40% | 44% | 62% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/6 | 5/12 | 3/3 | 17/34 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 42% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 19 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 4/5 | 6/9 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 67% | 100% | 99% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
Tennis Scores in Cincinnati
- Clement GeensGeens – Stephan GerritsenGerritsen (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Marvin MoellerMoeller (6-4 2-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (8-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-0) – H2H and prediction
