Roman Safiullin and Mattia Bellucci will clash against each other in the final of the Cary Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.87
Roman Safiullin -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Roman Safiullin vs. Mattia Bellucci

There is no head to head record between Roman Safiullin and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Roman Safiullin

Ranked no. 66, the Russian reached the final after defeating Matteo Gigante 7-5 2-6 6-4, Terence Atmane 6-4 3-6 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4 and David Goffin 7-6(5) 7-6(2).

In the semifinal, Roman had a good straight sets win against Goffin (7-6⁵ 7-6²). During the match, Safiullin scored 96 points vs Goffin’s 87. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Safiullin managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Roman Safiullin was very efficient on serve to win 80% (45/56) of his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Safiullin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (336-195). 9-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Safiullin has an aggregate 183-83 match record in the last years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane,the Aix En Provence Challenger and the Cary Challenger.

The Russian has an aggregate 16-20 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 113 (career-high), the Italian got to the final after defeating Elias Ymer 7-5 7-5, Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-4 6-2, Nishesh Basavareddy 6-2 6-2, Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-3 and Gabriel Diallo 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-3 6-3). During the match Bellucci scored 63 points vs Diallo’s 42. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Bellucci struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Diallo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bellucci started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Mattia’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Nottingham 2 Challenger and the Cary Challenger.

Bellucci has an aggregate 33-23 win-loss record in 2024, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Safiullin	Bellucci
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	105	110
Pts	347-318	412-303
Total Points	665	715
Winners	144	151
%Winners	41%	37%

Safiullin played 4 matches while Bellucci competed in 6 matches. Bellucci started his run from the qualifications while Safiullin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Roman Safiullin lost 2 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Safiullin has played 2 set(s) less than Bellucci (10 vs 12). Therefore, Safiullin played 5 games less than Bellucci. Safiullin scored 144 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 151 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Safiullin	Bellucci
Aces	37	31
Avg per match	9.3	5.2
1st in	182/331	212/343
%1st in	55%	62%
1st pts	144/182	151/212
%1st pts	79%	71%
2nd pts	84/149	74/131
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Safiullin fired 37 aces (9.3 per match). Bellucci made 31 aces (5.2 per match). Safiullin won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Safiullin	Bellucci
Won	9	27
Converted	9/27	27/63
% Converted	33%	43%
Conceded	22	20
Saved	16	12
% Saved	73%	60%
Times Broken	6	8

Safiullin broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Bellucci broke his opponents 27 times with a 43% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Safiullin
	R1 Gigante	R2 Atmane	1/4 Eubanks	1/2 Goffin	Total
Score	7-5 2-6 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-4	6-4 6-4	7-65 7-62
Tot Set	3	3	2	2	10
Tot Games	30	29	20	26	105
pts	102-103	95-89	54-39	96-87	347-318
Total points	205	184	93	183	665
Winners	42	34	23	45	144
%Winners	41%	36%	43%	47%	41%
SERVE
Aces	11	3	6	17	37
Double Faults	7	3	1	3	14
1st in	51/115	47/76	28/46	56/94	182/331
% 1st in	44%	62%	61%	60%	55%
1st pts	42/51	34/47	23/28	45/56	144/182
% 1st pts	82%	72%	82%	80%	79%
2nd pts	29/64	19/29	15/18	21/38	84/149
% 2nd pts	45%	66%	83%	55%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	0	9
Converted	3/7	3/12	3/4	0/4	9/27
Converted %	43%	25%	75%	0%	33%
Conceded	11	2	2	7	22
Saved	8/11	0/2	1/2	7/7	16
Saved %	73%	0%	50%	100%	56%
Times Broken	3	2	1	0	6

Bellucci
	Q1 Ymer	Q3 Agustin	R1 Chan Hong	R2 Basavareddy	1/4 Kukushkin	1/2 Diallo	Total
Score	7-5 7-5	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-2	6-2 6-2	6-1 6-3	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	2	12
Tot Games	24	18	18	16	16	18	110
pts	84-76	73-58	70-50	65-44	57-33	63-42	412-303
Total points	160	131	120	109	90	105	715
Winners	26	32	29	22	19	23	151
%Winners	31%	44%	41%	34%	33%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	7	4	6	4	31
Double Faults	3	4	3	2	2	1	15
1st in	39/73	46/67	35/57	35/55	28/45	29/46	212/343
% 1st in	53%	69%	61%	64%	62%	63%	62%
1st pts	26/39	32/46	29/35	22/35	19/28	23/29	151/212
% 1st pts	67%	70%	83%	63%	68%	79%	71%
2nd pts	17/34	10/21	12/22	14/20	11/17	10/17	74/131
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	55%	70%	65%	59%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	4	3	5	6	4	27
Converted	5/11	4/13	3/11	5/11	6/9	4/8	27/63
Converted %	45%	31%	27%	45%	67%	50%	43%
Conceded	7	5	1	4	2	1	20
Saved	4/7	4/5	1/1	3/4	0/2	0/1	12
Saved %	57%	80%	100%	75%	0%	0%	78%
Times Broken	3	1	0	1	2	1	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Roman SafiullinSafiullin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction