Roman Safiullin and Mattia Bellucci will clash against each other in the final of the Cary Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.87
Roman Safiullin -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Roman Safiullin vs. Mattia Bellucci
There is no head to head record between Roman Safiullin and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Roman Safiullin
17 - 20win/loss
60
36
LWWWWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 18-14 | 5-8 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-12 | 6-2 | 4-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 66, the Russian reached the final after defeating Matteo Gigante 7-5 2-6 6-4, Terence Atmane 6-4 3-6 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 6-4 6-4 and David Goffin 7-6(5) 7-6(2).
In the semifinal, Roman had a good straight sets win against Goffin (7-65 7-62). During the match, Safiullin scored 96 points vs Goffin’s 87. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Safiullin managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Roman Safiullin was very efficient on serve to win 80% (45/56) of his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Safiullin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (336-195). 9-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Safiullin has an aggregate 183-83 match record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane,the Aix En Provence Challenger and the Cary Challenger.
The Russian has an aggregate 16-20 win-loss record in 2024, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Mattia Bellucci
33 - 24win/loss
104
101
WLWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49-30 | 31-16 | 5-2 | 7-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 113 (career-high), the Italian got to the final after defeating Elias Ymer 7-5 7-5, Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-4 6-2, Nishesh Basavareddy 6-2 6-2, Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-3 and Gabriel Diallo 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Diallo (6-3 6-3). During the match Bellucci scored 63 points vs Diallo’s 42. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Bellucci struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Diallo 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Mattia’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Nottingham 2 Challenger and the Cary Challenger.
Bellucci has an aggregate 33-23 win-loss record in 2024, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Safiullin | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 105 | 110 |
| Pts | 347-318 | 412-303 |
| Total Points | 665 | 715 |
| Winners | 144 | 151 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Safiullin played 4 matches while Bellucci competed in 6 matches. Bellucci started his run from the qualifications while Safiullin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Roman Safiullin lost 2 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Safiullin has played 2 set(s) less than Bellucci (10 vs 12). Therefore, Safiullin played 5 games less than Bellucci. Safiullin scored 144 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 151 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Safiullin | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 37 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 9.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st in | 182/331 | 212/343 |
| %1st in | 55% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 144/182 | 151/212 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 84/149 | 74/131 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Safiullin fired 37 aces (9.3 per match). Bellucci made 31 aces (5.2 per match). Safiullin won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Safiullin | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 27 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 27/63 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 22 | 20 |
| Saved | 16 | 12 |
| % Saved | 73% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Safiullin broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Bellucci broke his opponents 27 times with a 43% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Safiullin | ||||||
| R1 Gigante |
R2 Atmane |
1/4 Eubanks |
1/2 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 29 | 20 | 26 | 105 | |
| pts | 102-103 | 95-89 | 54-39 | 96-87 | 347-318 | |
| Total points | 205 | 184 | 93 | 183 | 665 | |
| Winners | 42 | 34 | 23 | 45 | 144 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 43% | 47% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 51/115 | 47/76 | 28/46 | 56/94 | 182/331 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 62% | 61% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 34/47 | 23/28 | 45/56 | 144/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 72% | 82% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/64 | 19/29 | 15/18 | 21/38 | 84/149 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 66% | 83% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/12 | 3/4 | 0/4 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 25% | 75% | 0% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 7/7 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Bellucci | ||||||||
| Q1 Ymer |
Q3 Agustin |
R1 Chan Hong |
R2 Basavareddy |
1/4 Kukushkin |
1/2 Diallo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 110 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 73-58 | 70-50 | 65-44 | 57-33 | 63-42 | 412-303 | |
| Total points | 160 | 131 | 120 | 109 | 90 | 105 | 715 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 29 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 44% | 41% | 34% | 33% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 39/73 | 46/67 | 35/57 | 35/55 | 28/45 | 29/46 | 212/343 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 69% | 61% | 64% | 62% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 32/46 | 29/35 | 22/35 | 19/28 | 23/29 | 151/212 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 83% | 63% | 68% | 79% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 10/21 | 12/22 | 14/20 | 11/17 | 10/17 | 74/131 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 55% | 70% | 65% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 27 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/13 | 3/11 | 5/11 | 6/9 | 4/8 | 27/63 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 31% | 27% | 45% | 67% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
