Mattia Bellucci and Mikhail Kukushkin will square off in the quarter of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.4
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Mikhail Kukushkin play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kukushkin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Kukushkin won 6-4 7-6(4) in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Mattia Bellucci
32 - 23win/loss
104
101
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-30 | 31-16 | 5-2 | 6-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 113 (career-high), Mattia got to the quarter after defeating Elias Ymer 7-5 7-5, Federico Agustin Gomez 6-4 6-2, Seong Chan Hong 6-4 6-2 and Nishesh Basavareddy 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (6-2 6-2). During the match, Bellucci scored 65 points vs Basavareddy’s 44. Mattia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci broke Basavareddy 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (215-124). 15-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has a compiled117-54 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Nottingham 2 Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 31-23 win-loss record in 2024, 15-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikhail Kukushkin
42 - 22win/loss
113
39
LLWLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-31 | 24-10 | 10-9 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Kukushkin reached the quarter after beating Cooper Williams 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Aslan Karatsev 7-6(2) 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Mikhail defeated Karatsev (7-62 3-6 6-1). During the match Kukushkin scored 105 points vs Karatsev’s 97. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Kukushkin scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mikhail Kukushkin was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (49/65) of his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kukushkin broke Karatsev twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mikhail has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Manama Challenger where he defeated Richard Gasquet in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and the Tenerife 3 Challenger where he overcame Matteo Gigante in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has an overall 42-21 win-loss record in 2024, 19-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 61 |
| Pts | 292-228 | 200-185 |
| Total Points | 520 | 385 |
| Winners | 109 | 94 |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% |
Bellucci played 4 matches while Kukushkin competed in 2 matches. Bellucci started his run from the qualifications while Kukushkin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mikhail Kukushkin conceded 2 sets while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 2 sets more than Kukushkin (8 vs 6). Therefore, Bellucci played 15 games more than Kukushkin. Bellucci scored 109 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kukushkin struck 94 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 155/252 | 128/189 |
| %1st in | 62% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 109/155 | 94/128 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 53/97 | 33/61 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 54% |
Bellucci blasted 21 aces (5.3 per match). Kukushkin managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Bellucci won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 6 |
| Converted | 17/46 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 37% | 38% |
| Conceded | 17 | 10 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Bellucci broke his opponents 17 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Mikhail broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kukushkin conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||||
| Q1 Ymer |
Q3 Agustin |
R1 Chan Hong |
R2 Basavareddy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 76 | |
| pts | 84-76 | 73-58 | 70-50 | 65-44 | 292-228 | |
| Total points | 160 | 131 | 120 | 109 | 520 | |
| Winners | 26 | 32 | 29 | 22 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 44% | 41% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 39/73 | 46/67 | 35/57 | 35/55 | 155/252 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 69% | 61% | 64% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 32/46 | 29/35 | 22/35 | 109/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 83% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 10/21 | 12/22 | 14/20 | 53/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 55% | 70% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 4/13 | 3/11 | 5/11 | 17/46 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 31% | 27% | 45% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Kukushkin | ||||||
| R1 Williams |
R2 Karatsev |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 7-62 3-6 6-1 | ||||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Tot Games | 32 | 29 | 61 | |||
| pts | 95-88 | 105-97 | 200-185 | |||
| Total points | 183 | 202 | 385 | |||
| Winners | 45 | 49 | 94 | |||
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 47% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| 1st in | 63/90 | 65/99 | 128/189 | |||
| % 1st in | 70% | 66% | 68% | |||
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 49/65 | 94/128 | |||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 75% | 73% | |||
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 18/34 | 33/61 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 53% | 54% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/10 | 6/16 | |||
| Converted % | 67% | 20% | 38% | |||
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |||
| Saved | 1/4 | 5/6 | 6 | |||
| Saved % | 25% | 83% | 27% | |||
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
Head 2 Head
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