Jessica Pegula and Diana Shnaider will square off in the semifinal of the National Bank Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.47
Diana Shnaider -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Diana Shnaider
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Diana Shnaider since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
25 - 10win/loss
7
3
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, the American got to the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Karolina Pliskova 7-5 6-4, Ashlyn Krueger 6-2 6-4 and Peyton Stearns 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Stearns (6-4 7-5). During the match, Pegula scored 76 points vs Stearns’s 63. The American was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula managed to score 7 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of her 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jessica broke Stearns 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (322-175). 14-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a composed 200-95 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Berlin where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3).
The American has an overall 24-10 win-loss record in 2024, 14-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Diana Shnaider
41 - 16win/loss
13
12
WWWWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Harriet Dart 6-3 3-6 7-6(2), Magdalena Frech 2-6 6-3 7-6(5), Cori Gauff 6-4 6-1 and Liudmila Samsonova 4-6 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter against Samsonova, Shnaider recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Shnaider scored 91 points vs Samsonova’s 79. Shnaider was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Shnaider recorded 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Diana Shnaider was very efficient on serve to win 74% (39/53) of her 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Shnaider broke Samsonova 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diana has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Hua Hin where she overcame Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she defeated Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she beat Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.
Diana has an overall 41-15 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Shnaider has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 105 |
| Pts | 221-188 | 365-327 |
| Total Points | 409 | 692 |
| Winners | 69 | 146 |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% |
Pegula played 3 matches while Shnaider competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Diana Shnaider dropped 3 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 5 set(s) less than Shnaider (6 vs 11). Therefore, Pegula played 43 games less than Shnaider. Pegula scored 69 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 146 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 105/195 | 204/331 |
| %1st in | 54% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 69/105 | 146/204 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 49/90 | 66/127 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 52% |
Pegula blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Shnaider struck 11 aces (2.8 per match). Pegula won 66% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 15 |
| Converted | 15/36 | 15/43 |
| % Converted | 42% | 35% |
| Conceded | 21 | 24 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 62% | 54% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 11 |
Jessica broke her opponents 15 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Diana broke her opponents 15 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Pliskova |
R3 Krueger |
1/4 Stearns |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 22 | 62 | |
| pts | 77-67 | 68-58 | 76-63 | 221-188 | |
| Total points | 144 | 126 | 139 | 409 | |
| Winners | 27 | 16 | 26 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 24% | 34% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 41/74 | 28/58 | 36/63 | 105/195 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 48% | 57% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 27/41 | 16/28 | 26/36 | 69/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 57% | 72% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 14/30 | 19/27 | 49/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 47% | 70% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/16 | 3/10 | 15/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 30% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5/9 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 56% | 75% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Shnaider | ||||||
| R1 Dart |
R2 Frech |
R3 Gauff |
1/4 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 7-62 | 2-6 6-3 7-65 | 6-4 6-1 | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 30 | 17 | 27 | 105 | |
| pts | 113-109 | 97-92 | 64-47 | 91-79 | 365-327 | |
| Total points | 222 | 189 | 111 | 170 | 692 | |
| Winners | 38 | 43 | 26 | 39 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% | 41% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 56/93 | 63/95 | 32/59 | 53/84 | 204/331 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 54% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 38/56 | 43/63 | 26/32 | 39/53 | 146/204 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | 81% | 74% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/37 | 18/32 | 14/27 | 20/31 | 66/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 56% | 52% | 65% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/23 | 3/5 | 3/8 | 3/7 | 15/43 | |
| Converted % | 26% | 60% | 38% | 43% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 3/9 | 6/10 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 60% | 100% | 75% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
WWWWWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Juan Pablo PazPablo Paz – Antonio MassaraMassara (6-4 3-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mirko CutuliCutuli – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
