Aryna Sabalenka and Katie Boulter will square off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.179
Katie Boulter -> 4.9
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Katie Boulter
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Katie Boulter face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 7-5 7-6(2) in the 2nd round in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Katie Boulter – Beijing 03-October-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
34 - 10win/loss
1
1
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Aryna got to the 3rd round after beating Yue Yuan 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-2 6-2). During the match, Sabalenka scored 67 points vs Yuan’s 49. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka made 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of her 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belarussian broke Yuan 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (351-164). 17-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed206-90 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has an aggregate 33-10 win-loss record in 2024, 17-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Katie Boulter
26 - 15win/loss
24
23
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 36-22 | 24-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 14-8 | 10-6 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, the Brit got to the 3rd round after defeating Bernarda Pera 6-4 3-6 6-1 and Beatriz Haddad Maia 1-1 ret..
In the 2nd round against Haddad Maia, Boulter had a free pass after Haddad Maia retired on a 1-1 . scoreline.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in San Diego where she defeated Marta Kostyuk in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Nottingham where she defeated Karolina Pliskova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
The Brit has a composed 26-14 win-loss record in 2024, 14-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 16 | 28 |
Pts | 67-49 | 104-94 |
Total Points | 116 | 198 |
Winners | 19 | 37 |
%Winners | 28% | 36% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Boulter competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Katie Boulter conceded 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 12 games less than Boulter. Sabalenka scored 19 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Katie bagged 37 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 7 |
Avg per match | 4 | 3.5 |
1st in | 25/47 | 49/93 |
%1st in | 53% | 53% |
1st pts | 19/25 | 37/49 |
%1st pts | 76% | 76% |
2nd pts | 12/22 | 23/44 |
%2nd pts | 55% | 52% |
Sabalenka managed to score 4 aces . Boulter struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Boulter |
---|---|---|
Won | 5 | 4 |
Converted | 5/13 | 4/13 |
% Converted | 38% | 31% |
Conceded | 3 | 6 |
Saved | 2 | 4 |
% Saved | 67% | 67% |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Aryna broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Katie broke her opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Brit conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||
R2 Yuan |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
pts | 67-49 | 67-49 | |
Total points | 116 | 116 | |
Winners | 19 | 19 | |
%Winners | 28% | 28% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 25/47 | 25/47 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
1st pts | 19/25 | 19/25 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | |
% 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 5 | 5 | |
Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Boulter | ||||
R1 Pera |
R2 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | 1-1 ret. | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 26 | 2 | 28 | |
pts | 98-88 | 6-6 | 104-94 | |
Total points | 186 | 12 | 198 | |
Winners | 35 | 2 | 37 | |
%Winners | 36% | 33% | 36% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
1st in | 46/87 | 3/6 | 49/93 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 50% | 53% | |
1st pts | 35/46 | 2/3 | 37/49 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 21/41 | 2/3 | 23/44 | |
% 2nd pts | 51% | 67% | 52% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/13 | 0/0 | 4/13 | |
Converted % | 31% | 0% | 31% | |
Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
Saved | 4/6 | 0/0 | 4 | |
Saved % | 67% | – | 67% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Bianca Jolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie FernandezJolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie Fernandez – Catherine Harrison/Ashlyn KruegerHarrison/Ashlyn Krueger (6-3 4-6 11-9) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk – Hanyu Guo/Makoto NinomiyaGuo/Makoto Ninomiya (2-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Magda LinetteLinette (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (3-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Sofia Kenin/Bethanie Mattek-SandsKenin/Bethanie Mattek-Sands – Liudmila Samsonova/Yafan WangSamsonova/Yafan Wang (6-3 5-7 10-6) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Marina StakusicStakusic (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Yafan WangWang (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (7-67 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Corrado SummariaSummaria (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Luca PrevostoPrevosto (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo PazPablo Paz – Giovanni CalvanoCalvano (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Kirill KivattsevKivattsev – Jonathan MridhaMridha (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alessandro PetronePetrone – Pierre FaivreFaivre (6-74 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Antonio MassaraMassara – Wilson LeiteLeite (4-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction