Jelena Ostapenko and Taylor Townsend will face off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.49
Taylor Townsend -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Taylor Townsend
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Taylor Townsend play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ostapenko won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in New York back in 2018.
Jelena Ostapenko
31 - 16win/loss
15
5
LLLLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Latvian got to the 3rd round after beating Paula Badosa Gibert 3-6 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Badosa, Ostapenko recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-63 6-2). During the match, Ostapenko scored 94 points vs Badosa’s 91. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko fired 3 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 55% of her first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (17/41) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Badosa 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (313-205). 14-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has a composed 133-104 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.
Ostapenko has a composed 31-15 win-loss record in 2024, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Taylor Townsend
17 - 16win/loss
69
46
LWLWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-20 | 21-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-16 | 16-9 | 12-4 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-8 | 14-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 71, Taylor got to the 3rd round after beating Emina Bektas 6-2 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 6-3 3-1 ret. and Marina Stakusic 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Stakusic (6-0 6-2). During the match Townsend scored 58 points vs Stakusic’s 31. Townsend was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Townsend recorded 3 aces and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Taylor Townsend lost the serve once. Furthermore, Townsend put 58% of her first serves in, winning 95% (20/21) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Townsend broke Stakusic 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Townsend started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 63% of the points she played.
Townsend has a compiled 16-16 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 43 |
| Pts | 94-91 | 165-102 |
| Total Points | 185 | 267 |
| Winners | 34 | 63 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Ostapenko played 1 match while Townsend competed in 3 matches. Townsend started her run from the qualifications while Ostapenko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko conceded 1 set while Taylor Townsend hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ostapenko has played 4 set(s) less than Townsend (3 vs 7). Therefore, Ostapenko played 13 games less than Townsend. The Latvian scored 34 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Taylor managed to score 63 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 51/92 | 75/124 |
| %1st in | 55% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 63/75 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 17/41 | 24/49 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 49% |
Ostapenko scored 3 aces . Townsend blasted 14 aces (4.7 per match). Ostapenko won 67% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Townsend won 84% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 13 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 13/21 |
| % Converted | 83% | 62% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 43% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Latvian broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Ostapenko dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded. Townsend broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 94-91 | 94-91 | |
| Total points | 185 | 185 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 51/92 | 51/92 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/51 | 34/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/41 | 17/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Townsend | ||||||
| Q1 Bektas |
Q3 Andreeva |
R1 Yastremska |
R2 Stakusic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-66 6-4 | 6-3 3-1 ret. | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 13 | 14 | 66 | |
| pts | 55-34 | – | 52-37 | 58-31 | 165-102 | |
| Total points | 89 | 0 | 89 | 89 | 267 | |
| Winners | 24 | 19 | 20 | 63 | ||
| %Winners | 44% | 0% | 37% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 28/47 | / | 26/41 | 21/36 | 75/124 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 0% | 63% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | / | 19/26 | 20/21 | 63/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 0% | 73% | 95% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | / | 8/15 | 6/15 | 24/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 0% | 53% | 40% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | ||
| Converted | 4/5 | / | 3/6 | 6/10 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | ||
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/ | 2/3 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 67% | 0% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
LWLWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk – Hanyu Guo/Makoto NinomiyaGuo/Makoto Ninomiya (2-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Magda LinetteLinette (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (3-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Sofia Kenin/Bethanie Mattek-SandsKenin/Bethanie Mattek-Sands – Liudmila Samsonova/Yafan WangSamsonova/Yafan Wang (6-3 5-7 10-6) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Marina StakusicStakusic (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Yafan WangWang (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Jolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie FernandezJolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie Fernandez – Catherine Harrison/Ashlyn KruegerHarrison/Ashlyn Krueger (6-3 4-6 11-9) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (7-67 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Corrado SummariaSummaria (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Luca PrevostoPrevosto (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo PazPablo Paz – Giovanni CalvanoCalvano (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Kirill KivattsevKivattsev – Jonathan MridhaMridha (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alessandro PetronePetrone – Pierre FaivreFaivre (6-74 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Antonio MassaraMassara – Wilson LeiteLeite (4-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
