Liudmila Samsonova and Elise Mertens will square off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on Cashmere Grandstand. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.71
Elise Mertens -> 2.14
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 2nd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Samsonova won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 1st round in Washington back in 2022.
Liudmila Samsonova
20 - 17win/loss
27
12
LLLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Samsonova got to the 3rd round after defeating Moyuka Uchijima 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Uchijima (6-4 6-2). During the match, Samsonova scored 68 points vs Uchijima’s 46. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Samsonova scored 8 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova was very efficient on serve to win 82% (18/22) of her 1st serve and 66% (25/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Uchijima 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Samsonova has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (287-169). 5-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has an overall103-63 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.
Samsonova has a composed 19-17 win-loss record in 2024, 5-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Elise Mertens
21 - 19win/loss
34
12
LWLLWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Mertens reached the 3rd round after defeating Katie Volynets 6-3 6-1 and Naomi Osaka 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Osaka (6-3 6-4). During the match Mertens scored 64 points vs Osaka’s 53. Elise was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens recorded 6 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 49% of her first serves in, winning 81% (25/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Osaka 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
The Belgian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Hobart.
Elise has a composed 21-18 win-loss record in 2024, 11-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Montreal
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 35 |
| Pts | 68-46 | 130-98 |
| Total Points | 114 | 228 |
| Winners | 18 | 51 |
| %Winners | 26% | 39% |
Samsonova played 1 match while Mertens competed in 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Samsonova has played 2 set(s) less than Mertens (2 vs 4). Therefore, Samsonova played 17 games less than Mertens. Samsonova scored 18 winners (26% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian bagged 51 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 6 |
| 1st in | 22/60 | 61/110 |
| %1st in | 37% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 51/61 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 25/38 | 20/49 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 41% |
Samsonova scored 8 aces . Mertens blasted 12 aces (6 per match). Samsonova won 82% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 84% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Ludmilla broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Samsonova pretty effective on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Belgian broke her opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | |||
| R2 Uchijima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 68-46 | 68-46 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 26% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 22/60 | 22/60 | |
| % 1st in | 37% | 37% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/38 | 25/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Osaka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 35 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 64-53 | 130-98 | |
| Total points | 111 | 117 | 228 | |
| Winners | 26 | 25 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 31/63 | 61/110 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 49% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 25/31 | 51/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 81% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/17 | 14/32 | 20/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 44% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/6 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 33% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
LWLLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Toronto
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Caroline Dolehide/Desirae KrawczykDolehide/Desirae Krawczyk – Hanyu Guo/Makoto NinomiyaGuo/Makoto Ninomiya (2-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Magda LinetteLinette (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (3-6 7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Sofia Kenin/Bethanie Mattek-SandsKenin/Bethanie Mattek-Sands – Liudmila Samsonova/Yafan WangSamsonova/Yafan Wang (6-3 5-7 10-6) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Marina StakusicStakusic (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Yafan WangWang (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Jolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie FernandezJolie Fernandez/Leylah Annie Fernandez – Catherine Harrison/Ashlyn KruegerHarrison/Ashlyn Krueger (6-3 4-6 11-9) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Lyudmyla Kichenok/Jelena OstapenkoKichenok/Jelena Ostapenko (7-67 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Corrado SummariaSummaria (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Luca PrevostoPrevosto (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo PazPablo Paz – Giovanni CalvanoCalvano (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Kirill KivattsevKivattsev – Jonathan MridhaMridha (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alessandro PetronePetrone – Pierre FaivreFaivre (6-74 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Antonio MassaraMassara – Wilson LeiteLeite (4-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Greetje MinnenMinnen (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-6 7-6(3) 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-3) – H2H and prediction
