Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT ROGERS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.909
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
15 - 15win/loss
42
21
WWLWLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-15 | 11-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-13 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after defeating Roman Safiullin 6-2 7-5 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 1-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Davidovich Fokina defeated Medvedev (6-4 1-6 6-2). During the match, Davidovich Fokina and Medvedev scored the same amount of points (76). However, the world no. 42 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Davidovich Fokina made 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 58% of his first serves in, winning 64% (29/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro has dropped 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Davidovich Fokina has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (256-187). 11-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Davidovich Fokina has a compiled113-68 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Spaniard has an overall 15-15 win-loss record in 2024, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Matteo Arnaldi
23 - 19win/loss
46
34
WWLWLLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-19 | 12-8 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 46, Matteo reached the 3rd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Karen Khachanov 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (7-5 7-5). During the match Arnaldi scored 78 points vs Khachanov’s 69. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi recorded 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 68% of his first serves in, winning 80% (37/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (7/22) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Khachanov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a composed 23-19 win-loss record in 2024, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Davidovich Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 54 |
| Pts | 140-130 | 170-158 |
| Total Points | 270 | 328 |
| Winners | 59 | 68 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Davidovich Fokina and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 1 set, while Matteo Arnaldi lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Davidovich Fokina and Arnaldi have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Davidovich Fokina played 9 games less than Arnaldi. The Spaniard scored 59 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaldi struck 68 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Davidovich Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 86/138 | 92/167 |
| %1st in | 62% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 59/86 | 68/92 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 28/52 | 32/75 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 43% |
Davidovich Fokina managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Arnaldi recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Davidovich Fokina won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Davidovich Fokina | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 10 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 57% | 59% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 44% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Alejandro broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alejandro surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.
| Davidovich Fokina | ||||
| R1 Safiullin |
R2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 25 | 45 | |
| pts | 64-54 | 76-76 | 140-130 | |
| Total points | 118 | 152 | 270 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 41/61 | 45/77 | 86/138 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 29/45 | 59/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 64% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 16/32 | 28/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 43% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 24 | 54 | |
| pts | 92-89 | 78-69 | 170-158 | |
| Total points | 181 | 147 | 328 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 46/99 | 46/68 | 92/167 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 68% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | 37/46 | 68/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 80% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/53 | 7/22 | 32/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 32% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 4/8 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 60% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWWLLW
WWLWLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Lloyd Glasspool/Nikola MekticGlasspool/Nikola Mektic (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (4-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-6 7-62 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
