Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima will square off in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT ROGERS. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.444
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nakashima won 6-4 7-6(6) in the 2nd round in Barcelona back in April 2024.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Andrey Rublev – Barcelona 16-April-2024
Andrey Rublev
29 - 15win/loss
8
5
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 29-15 | 16-6 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rublev reached the 3rd round after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (7-63 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 70 points vs Etcheverry’s 54. Rublev was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev made 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was pretty effective on serve to win 86% (25/29) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Etcheverry 3 times.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (419-235). 16-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 169-88 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Andrey has an aggregate 29-15 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Brandon Nakashima
49 - 22win/loss
52
43
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 49-22 | 16-6 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 52, Nakashima reached the 3rd round after defeating Nicolas Arseneault 6-3 6-2, Billy Harris 6-4 7-6(2), Denis Shapovalov 6-4 7-5 and Tommy Paul 6-2 6-7(5) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima defeated Paul (6-2 6-75 6-1). During the match Nakashima scored 105 points vs Paul’s 81. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima made 9 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 73% (19/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Paul 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Brandon has a composed 49-22 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 4 |
Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
Tot Games | 21 | 90 |
Pts | 70-54 | 317-253 |
Total Points | 124 | 570 |
Winners | 25 | 139 |
%Winners | 36% | 44% |
Rublev played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 4 matches. Nakashima started his run from the qualifications while Rublev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 7 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 9). Therefore, Rublev played 69 games less than Nakashima. The Russian scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima blasted 139 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Aces | 9 | 28 |
Avg per match | 9 | 7 |
1st in | 29/56 | 187/277 |
%1st in | 52% | 68% |
1st pts | 25/29 | 139/187 |
%1st pts | 86% | 74% |
2nd pts | 16/27 | 58/90 |
%2nd pts | 59% | 64% |
Rublev managed to score 9 aces . Nakashima bagged 28 aces (7 per match). Rublev won 86% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Rublev | Nakashima |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 13 |
Converted | 3/3 | 13/28 |
% Converted | 100% | 46% |
Conceded | 1 | 12 |
Saved | 0 | 10 |
% Saved | 0% | 83% |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Andrey broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Rublev surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
Rublev | |||
R2 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-63 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
pts | 70-54 | 70-54 | |
Total points | 124 | 124 | |
Winners | 25 | 25 | |
%Winners | 36% | 36% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 9 | 9 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
1st in | 29/56 | 29/56 | |
% 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
1st pts | 25/29 | 25/29 | |
% 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
2nd pts | 16/27 | 16/27 | |
% 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Nakashima | ||||||
Q1 Arseneault |
Q3 Harris |
R1 Shapovalov |
R2 Paul |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-62 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-2 6-75 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 23 | 22 | 28 | 90 | |
pts | 63-39 | 75-64 | 74-69 | 105-81 | 317-253 | |
Total points | 102 | 139 | 143 | 186 | 570 | |
Winners | 28 | 28 | 40 | 43 | 139 | |
%Winners | 44% | 37% | 54% | 41% | 44% | |
SERVE | ||||||
Aces | 6 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
1st in | 32/49 | 41/63 | 54/79 | 60/86 | 187/277 | |
% 1st in | 65% | 65% | 68% | 70% | 68% | |
1st pts | 28/32 | 28/41 | 40/54 | 43/60 | 139/187 | |
% 1st pts | 88% | 68% | 74% | 72% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 11/17 | 15/22 | 13/25 | 19/26 | 58/90 | |
% 2nd pts | 65% | 68% | 52% | 73% | 64% | |
Breaks | ||||||
Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 5/13 | 13/28 | |
Converted % | 43% | 60% | 67% | 38% | 46% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
Saved | 3/3 | 1/3 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 10 | |
Saved % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 333% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Lloyd Glasspool/Nikola MekticGlasspool/Nikola Mektic (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (4-6 6-3 10-7) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-6 7-62 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Borna CoricCoric (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Kei NishikoriNishikori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-1) – H2H and prediction