Ben Shelton and Flavio Cobolli will face off in the semifinal of the Citi Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ben Shelton who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ben Shelton is the pick to win this match.
Ben Shelton -> 1.51
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.57
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Prediction and head to head Ben Shelton vs. Flavio Cobolli
This will be the 2nd time that Ben Shelton and Flavio Cobolli square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Cobolli (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Cobolli won 4-6 7-6(1) 6-2 in the 2nd round in Geneva back in May 2024.
Highlights Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton – Geneva 21-May-2024
Ben Shelton
26 - 17win/loss
21
13
LLWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-26 | 22-13 | 8-4 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), the American got to the semifinal after beating Radu Albot 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3, Brandon Nakashima 7-6(5) 7-6(4) and Denis Shapovalov 7-6(5) 6-6 ret..
In the quarter against Shapovalov, Shelton had a free pass after Shapovalov retired on a 7-65 6-6 . scoreline.
Shelton has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (112-60). 12-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Shelton has an aggregate56-32 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Houston where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-5 4-6 6-3.
Shelton has an aggregate 26-16 win-loss record in 2024, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Flavio Cobolli
33 - 21win/loss
32
30
LWLWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48 (career-high), Cobolli got to the semifinal after beating David Goffin 7-6(4) 6-3, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(7) and Alex Michelsen 7-5 3-6 7-6(2).
In the quarter, The Italian defeated Michelsen (7-5 3-6 7-62).During the match Cobolli scored less points (4) than Michelsen. In fact, the world no. 14 won 105 points vs Michelsen’s. That means that Cobolli was more focused during the important points. Cobolli was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Cobolli fired 17 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 13 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 48% of his first serves in, winning 83% (45/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (24/58) on the 2nd serve. Flavio broke Michelsen 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cobolli has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Flavio’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Geneva.
The Italian has a composed 32-21 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shelton | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 89 |
| Pts | 186-168 | 301-298 |
| Total Points | 354 | 599 |
| Winners | 99 | 114 |
| %Winners | 53% | 38% |
Both Shelton and Cobolli played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ben Shelton lost 1 set, while Flavio Cobolli conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Shelton and Cobolli have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Shelton played 6 games less than Cobolli. The American scored 99 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Flavio managed to score 114 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shelton | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 124/182 | 141/301 |
| %1st in | 68% | 47% |
| 1st pts | 99/124 | 114/141 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 33/58 | 72/160 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 45% |
Shelton fired 26 aces (8.7 per match). Cobolli scored 35 aces (11.7 per match). Shelton won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shelton | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 9/29 |
| % Converted | 36% | 31% |
| Conceded | 8 | 27 |
| Saved | 6 | 18 |
| % Saved | 75% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
The American broke his opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Shelton dropped his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 9 times with a 31% conversion rate. Cobolli conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shelton | |||||
| R2 Albot |
R3 Nakashima |
1/4 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-75 6-3 | 7-65 7-64 | 7-65 6-6 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 26 | 25 | 83 | |
| pts | 106-88 | 80-80 | – | 186-168 | |
| Total points | 194 | 160 | 0 | 354 | |
| Winners | 49 | 50 | 99 | ||
| %Winners | 46% | 63% | 0% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 14 | 0 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | ||
| 1st in | 62/92 | 62/90 | / | 124/182 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 69% | 0% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 49/62 | 50/62 | / | 99/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 81% | 0% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 14/28 | / | 33/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 50% | 0% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Converted | 3/10 | 1/1 | / | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 100% | 0% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | ||
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/5 | 0/ | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | – | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
| Cobolli | |||||
| R2 Goffin |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
1/4 Michelsen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 1-6 7-60 7-67 | 7-5 3-6 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 33 | 34 | 89 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 118-121 | 105-109 | 301-298 | |
| Total points | 146 | 239 | 214 | 599 | |
| Winners | 28 | 41 | 45 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 43% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 7 | 17 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 32/66 | 55/123 | 54/112 | 141/301 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 45% | 48% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 41/55 | 45/54 | 114/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 75% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 30/68 | 24/58 | 72/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 44% | 41% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/12 | 3/9 | 9/29 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 25% | 33% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 11 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/13 | 8/11 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 62% | 73% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLW
LWLWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Washington
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Lloyd Glasspool/Santiago GonzalezGlasspool/Santiago Gonzalez (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-5 3-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (7-65 6-6 ret.) – See score progression
- Sadio Doumbia/Hugo NysDoumbia/Hugo Nys – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Sebastian KordaKorda (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
