Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mubadala Citi DC Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.165
Marie Bouzkova -> 5.15
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova
This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the 3rd round in Miami back in 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova – Miami 26-March-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
32 - 10win/loss
1
1
LLWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Sabalenka reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Kamilla Rakhimova 7-5 4-6 6-4 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-4 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 76 points vs Azarenka’s 67. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 54% of her first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Azarenka 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (350-163). 16-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a compiled205-89 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Aryna has an aggregate 32-9 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Marie Bouzkova
18 - 14win/loss
44
24
WLWWWLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-22 | 17-16 | 7-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-14 | 33-10 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 11-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-12 | 11-8 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, Bouzkova got to the semifinal after defeating Mccartney Kessler 6-4 4-6 6-2, Taylor Townsend 7-5 7-6(8) and Robin Montgomery 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Montgomery (6-3 6-1). During the match Bouzkova scored 60 points vs Montgomery’s 36. Bouzkova was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Bouzkova scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 63% of her first serves in, winning 78% (29/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Marie was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Montgomery 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Czech’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Bogota.
Marie has an aggregate 17-14 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 69 |
| Pts | 190-177 | 247-201 |
| Total Points | 367 | 448 |
| Winners | 71 | 98 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Bouzkova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Marie Bouzkova dropped 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Bouzkova (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games less than Bouzkova. The Belarussian scored 71 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzkova blasted 98 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 10.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 94/181 | 130/224 |
| %1st in | 52% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 71/94 | 98/130 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 40/87 | 47/94 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 50% |
Sabalenka struck 21 aces (10.5 per match). Bouzkova struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Sabalenka won 76% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/26 | 13/26 |
| % Converted | 31% | 50% |
| Conceded | 18 | 15 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 72% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 31% conversion rate. Aryna surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Bouzkova broke her opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Marie conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R2 Rakhimova |
1/4 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 52 | |
| pts | 114-110 | 76-67 | 190-177 | |
| Total points | 224 | 143 | 367 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 8 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 14 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 55/109 | 39/72 | 94/181 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 54% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 41/55 | 30/39 | 71/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/54 | 14/33 | 40/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 42% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/17 | 4/9 | 8/26 | |
| Converted % | 24% | 44% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Bouzkova | |||||
| R1 Kessler |
R2 Townsend |
1/4 Montgomery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-2 | 7-5 7-68 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 25 | 16 | 69 | |
| pts | 96-84 | 91-81 | 60-36 | 247-201 | |
| Total points | 180 | 172 | 96 | 448 | |
| Winners | 32 | 37 | 29 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% | 48% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/84 | 49/81 | 37/59 | 130/224 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 63% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 37/49 | 29/37 | 98/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 76% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 18/32 | 9/22 | 47/94 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 56% | 41% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/11 | 5/5 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 27% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 67% | 80% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
WLWWWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Washington
- Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Miyu Kato/Aldila SutjiadiKato/Aldila Sutjiadi (6-4 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francesco VilardoVilardo – Jordan HassonHasson (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tigre HankHank – Constantin Bittoun KouzmineBittoun Kouzmine (7-64 6-71 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
