Flavio Cobolli and Alex Michelsen will fight against each other in the quarter of the Citi Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on JOHN HARRIS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.64
Flavio Cobolli -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Alex Michelsen
There is no head to head record between Flavio Cobolli and Alex Michelsen since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Flavio Cobolli
31 - 21win/loss
48
48
WWLWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-21 | 16-7 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48 (career-high), the Italian got to the quarter after beating David Goffin 7-6(4) 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6(0) 7-6(7).
In the 3rd round against Davidovich Fokina, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-60 7-67).During the match, Cobolli scored less points (3) than Davidovich Fokina. In fact, the world no. 48 won 118 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s. That means that Cobolli was more focused during the important points. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Cobolli made 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 45% of his first serves in, winning 75% (41/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (30/68) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Davidovich Fokina 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Cobolli has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (178-134). 16-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cobolli has an aggregate41-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.
Cobolli has a compiled 31-21 win-loss record in 2024, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Cobolli has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Michelsen
25 - 23win/loss
60
55
WWLWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-23 | 13-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, Alex got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Mattia Bellucci 6-3 7-6(1) and Seong Chan Hong 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Chan Hong (6-3 6-3). During the match Michelsen scored 65 points vs Chan Hong’s 50. Alex was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Chan Hong 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Newport.
Michelsen has a compiled 25-23 win-loss record in 2024, 13-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cobolli | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 40 |
| Pts | 196-189 | 143-112 |
| Total Points | 385 | 255 |
| Winners | 69 | 62 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Cobolli and Michelsen played 2 matches. At the moment, Flavio Cobolli dropped 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t lost a set so far. Cobolli has played 1 set more than Michelsen (5 vs 4). Therefore, Cobolli played 15 games more than Michelsen. Cobolli scored 69 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alex recorded 62 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cobolli | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 87/189 | 85/130 |
| %1st in | 46% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 69/87 | 62/85 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 48/102 | 30/45 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 67% |
Cobolli made 18 aces (9 per match). Michelsen scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Cobolli won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cobolli | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/20 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 30% | 50% |
| Conceded | 16 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 63% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
Cobolli broke his opponents 6 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Michelsen broke his opponents 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cobolli | ||||
| R2 Goffin |
R3 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 1-6 7-60 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 33 | 55 | |
| pts | 78-68 | 118-121 | 196-189 | |
| Total points | 146 | 239 | 385 | |
| Winners | 28 | 41 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 32/66 | 55/123 | 87/189 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 41/55 | 69/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 75% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/34 | 30/68 | 48/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 44% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/12 | 6/20 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 25% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 62% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Michelsen | ||||
| R2 Bellucci |
R3 Chan Hong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-61 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 40 | |
| pts | 78-62 | 65-50 | 143-112 | |
| Total points | 140 | 115 | 255 | |
| Winners | 36 | 26 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 52/72 | 33/58 | 85/130 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 57% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/52 | 26/33 | 62/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 15/25 | 30/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 60% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/4 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 2/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLWLWLW
WWLWWWLLWW Tennis Scores in Washington
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (7-63 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-71 7-5 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (1-6 7-60 7-67) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-65 7-64) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (7-6(3) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Seong Chan HongChan Hong (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-6(5) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
