H2H, prediction of Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal in Paris with odds, preview, pick | 29th July 2024

PREVIEW. Paris. Djokovic and Nadal will square off in the 2nd round of the Olympics. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Monday the 29th of July

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal will play each other in the 2nd round of the Olympics for the 60th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:00 pm on Court Philippe Chatrier. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.21
Rafael Nadal -> 4.45

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal

This will be the 60th time that Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal square off. The head to head is 30-29 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Nadal has a winning record of 20-8 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-6(4) in the quarter in at the French Open back in 2022.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Novak Djokovic – French Open 31-May-2022

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

24 - 7win/loss

Hard
8-3
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-3
Grass
5-1
Rank
6
High
1
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Djokovic got to the 2nd round after defeating Matthew Ebden 6-0 6-1.

In the 1st round, Djokovic had a good straight sets win against Ebden (6-0 6-1). During the match, Djokovic scored 52 points vs Ebden’s 21. The Serbian was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.

Regarding the service games, Djokovic bagged 4 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Novak Djokovic was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (15/18) of his 1st serve and 83% (10/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Djokovic broke Ebden 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Djokovic has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 86% of his matches (507-80). 11-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an overall 136-29 match record in the last years on clay.

Novak’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Wimbledon .

Novak has an overall 24-7 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Olympics

Djokovic
Paris
Djokovic's Record

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal

12 - 6win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
10-5
Rank
155
High
1
LWLWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-7 2-1 10-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 161, Nadal got to the 2nd round after beating Marton Fucsovics 6-1 4-6 6-4.

In the 1st round, Rafael defeated Fucsovics (6-1 4-6 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 97 points vs Fucsovics’s 78. Rafael was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Nadal scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 73% of his first serves in, winning 70% (47/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Fucsovics 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final Bastad.

Nadal has a composed 12-6 win-loss record in 2024, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Nadal
Paris
Nadal's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

N.Djokovic
R.Nadal
0h:54
0h:54
Time on court​
!
2h:32
2h:32
!
0h:54
0h:54
Last match​
!
2h:32
2h:32
1
1
Match played
1
1
13
13
Games Played​
27
27
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
52
52
Total points​
97
97
52
52
Avg point​
97
97
15
15
Winners
47
47
15
15
Avg Winners​
47
47
29%
29%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
1
1
4
4
Avg Aces
1
1
0
0
Double Faults
3
3
0
0
Avg Double Faults
3
3
15/18
15/18
1st won total​
47/67
47/67
!
83%
83%
1st won %
70%
70%
10/12
10/12
2nd won total​
15/26
15/26
!
83%
83%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
6/9
6/9
BP won
4/8
4/8
6/9
6/9
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
!
67%
67%
Won
50%
50%
0
0
Conceded
10
10
0
0
Avg Conceded
10
10
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
0
0
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Nadal
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 13 27
Pts 52-21 97-78
Total Points 73 175
Winners 15 47
%Winners 29% 48%

Both Djokovic and Nadal played 1 match. At the moment, Rafael Nadal conceded 1 set while Novak Djokovic hasn’t dropped a set so far. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Nadal (2 vs 3). Therefore, Djokovic played 14 games less than Nadal. Novak scored 15 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Nadal recorded 47 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Nadal
Aces 4 1
Avg per match 4 1
1st in 18/30 67/92
%1st in 60% 73%
1st pts 15/18 47/67
%1st pts 83% 70%
2nd pts 10/12 15/26
%2nd pts 83% 58%

Djokovic struck 4 aces . Nadal bagged 1 ace . Djokovic won 83% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 83% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Nadal
Won 6 4
Converted 6/9 4/8
% Converted 67% 50%
Conceded 0 10
Saved 0 8
% Saved 0% 80%
Times Broken 0 2

The Serbian broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Serbian was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Nadal broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Djokovic
R1
Ebden
Total
Score 6-0 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 13 13
pts 52-21 52-21
Total points 73 73
Winners 15 15
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 18/30 18/30
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 15/18 15/18
% 1st pts 83% 83%
2nd pts 10/12 10/12
% 2nd pts 83% 83%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/9 6/9
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Nadal
R1
Fucsovics
Total
Score 6-1 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 97-78 97-78
Total points 175 175
Winners 47 47
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 67/92 67/92
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 47/67 47/67
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 15/26 15/26
% 2nd pts 58% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 8/10 8
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
LWWWWWWLWW
Nadal
LWLWWWWLLW
2024 2023 2022
36 - 9
12 - 7
15-5
Hard
2-1
16-3
Clay
10-6
5-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Paris

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw