Jordan Thompson and Yoshihito Nishioka will square off in the final of the Atlanta Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.68
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.19
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jordan Thompson vs. Yoshihito Nishioka
This will be the 7th time that Jordan Thompson and Yoshihito Nishioka fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nishioka won 7-6(5) 4-6 6-2 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2023.
Jordan Thompson
23 - 17win/loss
28
28
LWWWLLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, Thompson got to the final after beating Unknown Player bye, Harold Mayot 6-2 7-5, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 and Juncheng Shang 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Thompson defeated Shang (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Thompson scored 97 points vs Shang’s 85. Jordan was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thompson fired 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jordan Thompson lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Thompson put 75% of his first serves in, winning 78% (50/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Shang 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Thompson has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Thompson has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (363-246). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Thompson has a composed 206-131 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Los Cabos where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Thompson has an overall 23-16 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Atlanta
Yoshihito Nishioka
21 - 17win/loss
64
24
LLWLWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-24 | 16-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-13 | 10-6 | 2-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 86, Yoshihito reached the final after beating Zachary Svajda 7-6(4) 6-3, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 7-6(2) 6-2 and Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Yoshihito defeated Rinderknech (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Nishioka scored 91 points vs Rinderknech’s 88. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Nishioka blasted 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Yoshihito Nishioka lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nishioka put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Rinderknech 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Yoshihito’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Atlanta.
Nishioka has an overall 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Atlanta
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Thompson | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 91 |
| Pts | 271-230 | 299-258 |
| Total Points | 501 | 557 |
| Winners | 125 | 135 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Thompson played 3 matches while Nishioka competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jordan Thompson conceded 2 sets, while Yoshihito Nishioka dropped 1 set. Thompson has played 1 set(s) less than Nishioka (8 vs 9). Therefore, Thompson played 11 games less than Nishioka. Thompson scored 125 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Nishioka fired 135 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Thompson | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 14.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 162/231 | 180/276 |
| %1st in | 70% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 125/162 | 135/180 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 42/69 | 56/96 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 58% |
Thompson scored 43 aces (14.3 per match). Nishioka made 20 aces (5 per match). Thompson won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Thompson | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/29 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 28% | 41% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Thompson broke his opponents 8 times with a 28% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Nishioka broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Thompson | |||||
| R2 Mayot |
1/4 Davidovich Fokina |
1/2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 28 | 80 | |
| pts | 66-44 | 108-101 | 97-85 | 271-230 | |
| Total points | 110 | 209 | 182 | 501 | |
| Winners | 31 | 44 | 50 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% | 52% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 21 | 13 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/50 | 61/96 | 64/85 | 162/231 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 64% | 75% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 44/61 | 50/64 | 125/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 72% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 22/35 | 10/21 | 42/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 63% | 48% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 2/14 | 3/12 | 8/29 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 14% | 25% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 33% | 67% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nishioka | ||||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Mcdonald |
1/4 Tiafoe |
1/2 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 21 | 29 | 91 | |
| pts | 69-59 | 69-58 | 70-53 | 91-88 | 299-258 | |
| Total points | 128 | 127 | 123 | 179 | 557 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 33 | 41 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 38% | 47% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/65 | 37/63 | 39/58 | 60/90 | 180/276 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 59% | 67% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 35/44 | 26/37 | 33/39 | 41/60 | 135/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 70% | 85% | 68% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 15/26 | 12/19 | 17/30 | 56/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 63% | 57% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/7 | 2/6 | 4/8 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 4/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 100% | 67% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLLW
LLWLWWWLLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (1-5) – H2H and prediction
