Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Gaston will face off in the final of the Generali Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.22
Hugo Gaston -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Hugo Gaston

This will be the 2^nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Hugo Gaston square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the 1^st round in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2024.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

24 - 6win/loss

Hard

4-2

I Hard

0-0

Clay

14-1

Grass

6-3

Rank
35

High
6

LLWWLWLWLW

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	34-13	7-6	15-1	6-3	6-3	0-0
2023	14-12	9-10	2-0	0-0	3-2	0-0
2022	32-12	15-9	4-2	4-1	9-0	0-0
2021	41-12	14-5	13-4	3-2	11-1	0-0
2020	9-6	5-3	4-2	0-1	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 50, Berrettini reached the final after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(6) 7-6(5), Alejandro Tabilo 7-6(4) 7-6(5), Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 7-6(5) 6-3 and Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-4). During the match, Berrettini scored 62 points vs Hanfmann’s 53. Matteo was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini bagged 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 67% of his first serves in, winning 89% (32/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Hanfmann twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Berrettini hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Berrettini has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (318-150). 14-1 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has an aggregate 97-39 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Marrakech where he overcame Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Gstaad where he beat Quentin Halys in the final 6-3 6-1.

The Italian has a compiled 24-6 win-loss record in 2024, 14-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Kitzbuhel

Kitzbuhel

Berrettini's Record

Hugo Gaston

Hugo Gaston

27 - 21win/loss

Hard

5-6

I Hard

4-3

Clay

15-10

Grass

3-2

Rank
74

High
58

LWLLWWWLLL

See allSTATS

Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	31-31	5-12	15-11	8-6	3-2	0-0
2023	45-32	6-5	30-18	8-6	1-3	0-0
2022	27-31	4-9	4-8	16-11	3-3	0-0
2021	44-30	2-3	32-16	10-10	0-1	0-0
2020	13-15	1-3	5-5	7-7	0-0	0-0

See all years

Ranked no. 91, Gaston got to the final after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-4 6-7(5) 6-4, Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 7-6(5), Sebastian Baez 7-5 5-7 7-6(6) and Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-1 2-0 ret..

In the semifinal against Diaz Acosta, Hugo had a free pass after Diaz Acosta retired on a 6-1 2-0 . scoreline.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Lyon Challenger where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 6-2 1-6 6-1.

Hugo has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 15-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Kitzbuhel

Gaston's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Berrettini and Gaston played 4 matches. At the moment, Hugo Gaston lost 2 sets while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t lost a set so far. Berrettini has played 3 set(s) less than Gaston (8 vs 11). Therefore, Berrettini played 6 games less than Gaston. Matteo scored 172 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 107 winners (30%).

Serve Performance

Berrettini managed to score 40 aces (10 per match). Gaston bagged 13 aces (3.3 per match). Berrettini won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Gaston won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 21% conversion rate. Matteo surrendered his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Gaston conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 10Main
• 3Chall
• 2Minor

• 0Slam
• 0Main
• 4Chall
• 4Minor

Matteo
Berrettini

2:0

Hugo
Gaston

Rank

35

High

6

1Hard0

1Clay0

Rank

74

High

58

Win Loss

Berrettini

LLWWLWLWLW

Gaston

LWLLWWWLLL

2024 2023 2022

31 - 13

31 - 31

7-6

Hard

5-12

3-3

I Hard

8-6

15-1

Clay

15-11

6-3

Grass

3-2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo GastonGaston – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction

Berrettini

More Stats

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Gaston