Evgeny Karlovskiy and Saba Purtseladze will square off in the semifinal of the Astana Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Evgeny Karlovskiy who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Evgeny Karlovskiy is the pick to win this match.
Evgeny Karlovskiy -> 1.61
Saba Purtseladze -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Evgeny Karlovskiy vs. Saba Purtseladze
There is no head to head record between Evgeny Karlovskiy and Saba Purtseladze since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Evgeny Karlovskiy
29 - 16win/loss
421
211
LLLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-25 | 20-15 | 10-6 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-29 | 6-9 | 3-11 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-30 | 6-6 | 15-10 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 26-27 | 12-5 | 3-8 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-20 | 6-5 | 0-5 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 437, Karlovskiy got to the semifinal after defeating Alafia Ayeni 7-6(3) 7-6(4), Vladyslav Orlov 5-7 6-4 6-4, Antoine Ghibaudo 7-6(1) 7-6(6) and Saba Purtseladze .
In the quarter, Karlovskiy had a good straight sets win against Ghibaudo (7-61 7-66). During the match, Karlovskiy scored 96 points vs Ghibaudo’s 85. Evgeny was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karlovskiy blasted 8 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Evgeny Karlovskiy was very effective on serve to win 74% (53/72) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Evgeny broke Ghibaudo once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Karlovskiy has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (328-252). 14-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karlovskiy has a compiled 135-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Karlovskiy’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Aktobe.
The Russian has an overall 29-15 win-loss record in 2024, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Saba Purtseladze
28 - 20win/loss
417
395
LLLLWWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-34 | 25-20 | 9-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-37 | 44-27 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-35 | 34-26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-23 | 20-16 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 533, Purtseladze got to the semifinal after beating Dominik Palan 6-4 6-4, Amir Omarkhanov 6-3 6-4 and Lukas Pokorny 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Purtseladze had a good straight sets win against Pokorny (6-2 6-3). During the match Purtseladze scored 56 points vs Pokorny’s 38. The Georgean was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Purtseladze blasted 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Saba Purtseladze was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Purtseladze was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pokorny 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Georgean hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Georgean’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh.
Saba has a compiled 27-20 win-loss record in 2024, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karlovskiy | Purtseladze |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 56 |
| Pts | 288-263 | 196-148 |
| Total Points | 551 | 344 |
| Winners | 145 | 83 |
| %Winners | 50% | 42% |
Both Karlovskiy and Purtseladze played 3 matches. At the moment, Evgeny Karlovskiy surrendered 1 set while Saba Purtseladze hasn’t lost a set so far. Karlovskiy has played 1 set more than Purtseladze (7 vs 6). Therefore, Karlovskiy played 28 games more than Purtseladze. Evgeny scored 145 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Georgean fired 83 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karlovskiy | Purtseladze |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 200/262 | 105/157 |
| %1st in | 76% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 145/200 | 83/105 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 34/62 | 32/52 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 62% |
Karlovskiy made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Purtseladze struck 29 aces (9.7 per match). Karlovskiy won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Purtseladze won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karlovskiy | Purtseladze |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/29 | 10/18 |
| % Converted | 24% | 56% |
| Conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Saved | 9 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Evgeny broke his opponents 7 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Saba broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Purtseladze conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karlovskiy | |||||
| R1 Ayeni |
R2 Orlov |
1/4 Ghibaudo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-64 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 7-61 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 26 | 84 | |
| pts | 100-86 | 92-92 | 96-85 | 288-263 | |
| Total points | 186 | 184 | 181 | 551 | |
| Winners | 40 | 52 | 53 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 57% | 55% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/76 | 77/99 | 72/87 | 200/262 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 78% | 83% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 40/51 | 52/77 | 53/72 | 145/200 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 68% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 12/22 | 9/15 | 34/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 55% | 60% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/17 | 4/7 | 1/5 | 7/29 | |
| Converted % | 12% | 57% | 20% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/7 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 57% | 83% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Purtseladze | |||||
| R1 Palan |
R2 Omarkhanov |
1/4 Pokorny |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 17 | 56 | |
| pts | 66-52 | 74-58 | 56-38 | 196-148 | |
| Total points | 118 | 132 | 94 | 344 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 27 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 15 | 5 | 9 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 39/59 | 33/46 | 105/157 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 29/39 | 27/33 | 83/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 82% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 11/20 | 9/13 | 32/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 55% | 69% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/12 | 3/3 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 33% | 100% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 83% | – | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWW
LLLLWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger
- Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Lukas PokornyPokorny (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (7-61 7-66) – See score progression
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Sergey FominFomin (7-65 6-73 7-63) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
