Mariano Navone and Rafael Nadal will fight against each other in the quarter of the Nordea Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.35
Mariano Navone -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Rafael Nadal
There is no head to head record between Mariano Navone and Rafael Nadal since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mariano Navone
26 - 15win/loss
36
29
WLLLLWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-15 | 0-1 | 26-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-8 | 4-2 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Navone got to the quarter after beating Sumit Nagal 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Nagal (6-4 6-2). During the match, Navone scored 79 points vs Nagal’s 68. Mariano was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Navone scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 74% of his first serves in, winning 66% (38/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. Mariano broke Nagal 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Navone has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (216-119). 26-11 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Navone has a composed212-110 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Cagliari Challenger where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 7-5 6-1.
Navone has a composed 26-15 win-loss record in 2024, 26-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Navone has never competed in this tournament before.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-5 | 2-1 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 261, the Spaniard got to the quarter after defeating Leo Borg 6-3 6-4, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-4 and Mariano Navone .
In the 2nd round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-4 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 68 points vs Norrie’s 53. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Nadal recorded 5 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Rafael Nadal was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nadal broke Norrie 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The Spaniard has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 39 |
| Pts | 79-68 | 129-101 |
| Total Points | 147 | 230 |
| Winners | 38 | 64 |
| %Winners | 48% | 50% |
Navone played 1 match while Nadal competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Navone has played 2 set(s) less than Nadal (2 vs 4). Therefore, Navone played 21 games less than Nadal. The Argentine scored 38 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard scored 64 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 58/78 | 82/113 |
| %1st in | 74% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 64/82 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 6/20 | 20/31 |
| %2nd pts | 30% | 65% |
Navone blasted 1 ace . Nadal also struck 10 aces (5 per match). Navone won 66% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 30% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navone | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 56% | 45% |
| Conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Saved | 10 | 3 |
| % Saved | 83% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Mariano surrendered his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Navone | |||
| R2 Nagal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 79-68 | 79-68 | |
| Total points | 147 | 147 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 58/78 | 58/78 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 38/58 | 38/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/20 | 6/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 30% | 30% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Nadal | ||||
| R1 Borg |
R2 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 61-48 | 68-53 | 129-101 | |
| Total points | 109 | 121 | 230 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 47% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 43/60 | 82/113 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 72% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/43 | 64/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 11/17 | 20/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/7 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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