Cameron Norrie and Rafael Nadal will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Nordea Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.52
Cameron Norrie -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Nadal
This will be the 6th time that Cameron Norrie and Rafael Nadal square off. The head to head is 4-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Norrie won 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the R in Australia back in 2022.
Highlights Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Nadal – Australia 31-December-2022
Cameron Norrie
18 - 15win/loss
50
8
LWWWWLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-15 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Cameron reached the 2nd round after beating Jozef Kovalik 7-6(4) 6-4 and Rafael Nadal .
In the 1st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Kovalik (7-64 6-4). During the match, Norrie scored 79 points vs Kovalik’s 63. Cameron was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Kovalik once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Norrie has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (320-198). 8-7 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Norrie has an aggregate 68-43 record in the last years on clay.
Cameron’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro.
Cameron has a composed 18-15 win-loss record in 2024, 8-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Cameron has never competed in this tournament before.
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-7 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 261, Rafael got to the 2nd round after defeating Leo Borg 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Borg (6-3 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 61 points vs Borg’s 48. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Nadal fired 5 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Rafael Nadal was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nadal broke Borg twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Rafael has a composed 8-5 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 19 |
| Pts | 79-63 | 61-48 |
| Total Points | 142 | 109 |
| Winners | 37 | 32 |
| %Winners | 47% | 52% |
Both Norrie and Nadal played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Norrie and Nadal have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Norrie played 4 games more than Nadal. Norrie scored 37 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 32 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 45/66 | 39/53 |
| %1st in | 68% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 32/39 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 9/14 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 64% |
Norrie scored 7 aces . Nadal managed to score 5 aces . Norrie won 82% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Nadal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 2 |
| Converted | 1/6 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 17% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Norrie broke his opponent once with a 17% conversion rate. The Brit pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Spaniard broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Rafael was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Norrie | |||
| R1 Kovalik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 79-63 | 79-63 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 45/66 | 45/66 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 37/45 | 37/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/6 | 1/6 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 17% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nadal | |||
| R1 Borg |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 61-48 | 61-48 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 39/53 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLLLW
LWLWWWWLLW Tennis Scores in Bastad
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (2-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Pavel KotovKotov (7-67 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sumit NagalNagal – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Rafael NadalNadal (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Timofey SkatovSkatov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
