Sho Shimabukuro and Nicolas Mejia will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.6
Nicolas Mejia -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Nicolas Mejia
There is no head to head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Nicolas Mejia since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Sho Shimabukuro
12 - 17win/loss
190
135
LWLLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 251, Shimabukuro reached the 2nd round after defeating Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-1.
In the 1st round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Marchenko (7-5 6-1). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 69 points vs Marchenko’s 47. Sho was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro scored 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Marchenko 4 times.
Shimabukuro has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (222-135). 4-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shimabukuro has an overall161-93 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Japanese has an aggregate 11-17 win-loss record in 2024, 4-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Nicolas Mejia
32 - 17win/loss
219
215
LLLWLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 264, the Colombian got to the 2nd round after defeating Ryuki Matsuda 6-3 6-4, Aidan Mayo 6-2 6-4 and Sho Shimabukuro .
In the 1st round, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Mayo (6-2 6-4). During the match Mejia scored 62 points vs Mayo’s 43. Nicolas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Mejia scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Nicolas Mejia was very effective on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nicolas broke Mayo 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
His best result of the season was winning the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he defeated Matias Soto in the final 6-1 5-7 6-2.
Nicolas has an aggregate 32-16 win-loss record in 2024, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shimabukuro | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 37 |
| Pts | 69-47 | 131-92 |
| Total Points | 116 | 223 |
| Winners | 25 | 46 |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% |
Shimabukuro played 1 match while Mejia competed in 2 matches. Mejia started his run from the qualifications while Shimabukuro had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Shimabukuro has played 2 set(s) less than Mejia (2 vs 4). Therefore, Shimabukuro played 18 games less than Mejia. The Japanese scored 25 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas made 46 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shimabukuro | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 56/106 |
| %1st in | 49% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 46/56 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 33/50 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 66% |
Shimabukuro fired 9 aces . Mejia scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Shimabukuro won 83% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Mejia won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shimabukuro | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 100% | 43% |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Mejia conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shimabukuro | |||
| R1 Marchenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 69-47 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 30/61 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 25/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mejia | |||||
| Q1 Matsuda |
Q3 Mayo |
R1 Mayo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-69 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 18 | 59 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 43-62 | 62-43 | 174-154 | |
| Total points | 118 | 105 | 105 | 328 | |
| Winners | 26 | 18 | 20 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 26/51 | 27/54 | 82/157 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 51% | 50% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 18/26 | 20/27 | 64/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 69% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 8/25 | 17/27 | 41/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 32% | 63% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 57% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 43% | 50% | 193% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLWLW
LLLWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger
- Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri – Jeff WolfWolf (7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Hady HabibHabib (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Liam DraxlDraxl (6-2 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Antoine BellierBellier – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Terence AtmaneAtmane (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
