Timofey Skatov and Lorenzo Giustino will square off in the semifinal of the Troyes Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on COURT AMPLITUDE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Timofey Skatov is the pick to win this match.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.41
Lorenzo Giustino -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Timofey Skatov vs. Lorenzo Giustino
This will be the 4th time that Timofey Skatov and Lorenzo Giustino square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Skatov (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Skatov won 1-6 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in the Trieste Challenger back in 2021.
Timofey Skatov
25 - 14win/loss
195
123
LLLWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-23 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 37-14 | 3-1 | 34-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 230, Skatov reached the semifinal after beating Mika Brunold 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3, Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-3 and Jonas Forejtek 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Forejtek (6-3 6-3). During the match, Skatov scored 72 points vs Forejtek’s 54. Timofey was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Skatov scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Timofey Skatov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 88% (28/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Forejtek 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Skatov has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (186-150). 22-9 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Skatov has an overall162-116 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Augsburg Challenger where he overcame Elmer Moller in the final 3-6 7-5 6-3.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 25-14 win-loss record in 2024, 22-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Troyes Challenger
Lorenzo Giustino
30 - 19win/loss
274
127
LLWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-30 | 2-4 | 44-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-39 | 3-8 | 14-26 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-19 | 6-7 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 343, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 6-2 6-1, Khumoun Sultanov 6-2 6-2, Evgeny Karlovskiy 6-0 6-7(4) 7-5 and Timofey Skatov .
In the quarter, The Italian defeated Karlovskiy (6-0 6-74 7-5). During the match Giustino scored 120 points vs Karlovskiy’s 99. Lorenzo was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Giustino fired 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Karlovskiy 7 times after converting 37% of his break points (7/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Giustino has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Giustino’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Badalona,M25 Mataro and Bresse.
Lorenzo has an overall 30-19 win-loss record in 2024, 26-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Troyes Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Skatov | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 62 |
| Pts | 243-191 | 249-190 |
| Total Points | 434 | 439 |
| Winners | 92 | 92 |
| %Winners | 38% | 37% |
Both Skatov and Giustino played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Timofey Skatov dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Giustino surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Skatov and Giustino have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Skatov played 4 games more than Giustino. Timofey scored 92 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Giustino blasted 92 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Skatov | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 110/209 | 138/208 |
| %1st in | 53% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 92/110 | 92/138 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 48/99 | 39/70 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 56% |
Skatov struck 9 aces (3 per match). Giustino made 13 aces (4.3 per match). Skatov won 84% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Giustino won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Skatov | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 16 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 16/41 |
| % Converted | 46% | 39% |
| Conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Saved | 10 | 11 |
| % Saved | 71% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Skatov broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Timofey surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Giustino broke his opponents 16 times with a 39% conversion rate. Giustino conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Skatov | |||||
| R1 Brunold |
R2 Erhard |
1/4 Forejtek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-75 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 19 | 18 | 66 | |
| pts | 103-84 | 68-53 | 72-54 | 243-191 | |
| Total points | 187 | 121 | 126 | 434 | |
| Winners | 36 | 28 | 28 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 43/91 | 35/63 | 32/55 | 110/209 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 56% | 58% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 36/43 | 28/35 | 28/32 | 92/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 80% | 88% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 10/28 | 11/23 | 48/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 36% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/9 | 3/9 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 63% | 100% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Giustino | |||||
| R1 Bittoun |
R2 Sultanov |
1/4 Karlovskiy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-0 6-74 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | 62 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 69-49 | 120-99 | 249-190 | |
| Total points | 102 | 118 | 219 | 439 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 42 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 32% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 35/55 | 67/100 | 138/208 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 22/35 | 42/67 | 92/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 63% | 63% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 12/20 | 20/33 | 39/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 60% | 61% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/14 | 7/19 | 16/41 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 37% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 57% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWWLL
LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Troyes Challenger
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Jonas ForejtekForejtek (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-0 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Neil Oberleitner/Jakub PaulOberleitner/Jakub Paul – Gabriel Roveri Sidney/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosRoveri Sidney/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (1-6 6-3 13-11) – See score progression
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (6-0 6-7(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Jonas ForejtekForejtek (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lilian MarmousezMarmousez – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (2-6 6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Timofey SkatovSkatov (0-3) – H2H and prediction
