Madison Keys and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.333
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Marta Kostyuk face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 6-1 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.
Madison Keys
19 - 7win/loss
24
7
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 24-11 | 7-5 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Keys reached the 3rd round after defeating Martina Trevisan 6-4 7-6(4) and Yafan Wang 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Keys scored 71 points vs Wang’s 50. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 76% of her first serves in, win 88% (30/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (4/11) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Wang 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (253-136). 3-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an overall 34-11 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.
Madison has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Marta Kostyuk
22 - 12win/loss
18
16
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 33-19 | 23-11 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Marta got to the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Sramkova 6-3 6-2, Daria Saville 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 and Madison Keys .
In the 2nd round against Gavrilova, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-4). During the match Kostyuk scored 122 points vs Gavrilova’s 118. Kostyuk was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Kostyuk bagged 4 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 8 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (52/77) of the points behind her 1st serve and 26% (12/46) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Gavrilova 8 times after converting 38% of her break points (8/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.
Kostyuk has an overall 22-12 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Keys | Kostyuk |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
Tot Games | 39 | 50 |
Pts | 152-124 | 191-165 |
Total Points | 276 | 356 |
Winners | 64 | 76 |
%Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Keys and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t conceded a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (4 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 11 games less than Kostyuk. Madison scored 64 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk scored 76 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Keys | Kostyuk |
---|---|---|
Aces | 11 | 8 |
Avg per match | 5.5 | 4 |
1st in | 87/119 | 109/174 |
%1st in | 73% | 63% |
1st pts | 64/87 | 76/109 |
%1st pts | 74% | 70% |
2nd pts | 18/32 | 26/65 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 40% |
Keys struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kostyuk fired 8 aces (4 per match). Keys won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Keys | Kostyuk |
---|---|---|
Won | 6 | 11 |
Converted | 6/21 | 11/33 |
% Converted | 29% | 33% |
Conceded | 4 | 17 |
Saved | 3 | 9 |
% Saved | 75% | 53% |
Times Broken | 1 | 8 |
Keys broke her opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American lost her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
Keys | ||||
R1 Trevisan |
R2 Wang |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 39 | |
pts | 81-74 | 71-50 | 152-124 | |
Total points | 155 | 121 | 276 | |
Winners | 34 | 30 | 64 | |
%Winners | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
1st in | 53/74 | 34/45 | 87/119 | |
% 1st in | 72% | 76% | 73% | |
1st pts | 34/53 | 30/34 | 64/87 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 88% | 74% | |
2nd pts | 14/21 | 4/11 | 18/32 | |
% 2nd pts | 67% | 36% | 56% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Converted | 2/7 | 4/14 | 6/21 | |
Converted % | 29% | 29% | 29% | |
Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 0/0 | 3 | |
Saved % | 75% | – | 38% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Kostyuk | ||||
R1 Sramkova |
R2 Gavrilova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 50 | |
pts | 69-47 | 122-118 | 191-165 | |
Total points | 116 | 240 | 356 | |
Winners | 24 | 52 | 76 | |
%Winners | 35% | 43% | 40% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 15 | 15 | |
1st in | 32/51 | 77/123 | 109/174 | |
% 1st in | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
1st pts | 24/32 | 52/77 | 76/109 | |
% 1st pts | 75% | 68% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 14/19 | 12/46 | 26/65 | |
% 2nd pts | 74% | 26% | 40% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
Converted | 3/12 | 8/21 | 11/33 | |
Converted % | 25% | 38% | 33% | |
Conceded | 1 | 16 | 17 | |
Saved | 1/1 | 8/16 | 9 | |
Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 8 | 8 |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Cristina BucsaBucsa (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-66 7-65) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Caroline GarciaGarcia (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria SavilleSaville (4-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-77 6-1) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Yafan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Katie BoulterBoulter (4-6 6-1 7-68) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Arantxa RusRus (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Elise MertensMertens (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (3-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Clara BurelBurel (6-3 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Greetje MinnenMinnen (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Erika AndreevaAndreeva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Lulu SunSun – Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Anca Alexia TodoniAlexia Todoni (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Pascal BrunnerBrunner – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Marko MiladinovicMiladinovic – Rafael MatosMatos (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tadeas ParoulekParoulek – Tomas JirousekJirousek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Patrik RiklRikl (2-6 6-3 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Peter TorebkoTorebko – Sven LahLah (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander VasilenkoVasilenko – Manuel GuinardGuinard (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lukas RosolRosol – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Caroline GarciaGarcia (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-6(6) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Cristina BucsaBucsa (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Katie BoulterBoulter (4-6 6-1 7-6(8)) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-7(7) 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria SavilleSaville (4-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Yafan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lulu SunSun – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Donna VekicVekic (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction