Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe will face off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.068
Frances Tiafoe -> 8.6
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Frances Tiafoe
This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-7(6) 6-3 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe – U.S. Open 09-September-2022
Carlos Alcaraz
28 - 6win/loss
3
1
WLWLLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Carlos reached the 3rd round after beating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe .
In the 2nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Vukic (7-65 6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 95 points vs Vukic’s 66. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Vukic 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (261-69). 3-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate19-3 record in the last 7 years on grass.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.
Alcaraz has a compiled 28-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Frances Tiafoe
15 - 15win/loss
18
10
LLWLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-27 | 21-13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-7(5) 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 and Borna Coric 7-6(5) 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Coric (7-65 6-1 6-3). During the match Tiafoe scored 99 points vs Coric’s 77. Francis was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Tiafoe managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 61% of his first serves in, winning 87% (45/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Coric 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tiafoe has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Houston.
The American has a composed 15-15 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 75 |
| Pts | 203-149 | 244-206 |
| Total Points | 352 | 450 |
| Winners | 87 | 111 |
| %Winners | 43% | 45% |
Both Alcaraz and Tiafoe played 2 matches. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Tiafoe (6 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 13 games less than Tiafoe. The Spaniard scored 87 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Francis struck 111 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 105/163 | 135/222 |
| %1st in | 64% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 87/105 | 111/135 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 32/58 | 41/87 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 47% |
Alcaraz struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Tiafoe struck 22 aces (11 per match). Alcaraz won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/21 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 43% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Lajal |
R2 Vukic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 29 | 62 | |
| pts | 108-83 | 95-66 | 203-149 | |
| Total points | 191 | 161 | 352 | |
| Winners | 47 | 40 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 11 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 56/89 | 49/74 | 105/163 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 47/56 | 40/49 | 87/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 14/25 | 32/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/11 | 11/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tiafoe | ||||
| R1 Arnaldi |
R2 Coric |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 46 | 29 | 75 | |
| pts | 145-129 | 99-77 | 244-206 | |
| Total points | 274 | 176 | 450 | |
| Winners | 66 | 45 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 83/137 | 52/85 | 135/222 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 66/83 | 45/52 | 111/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 87% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/54 | 16/33 | 41/87 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 48% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/10 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 3/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LLWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-63 6-3 1-6 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-65 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Lloyd HarrisHarris (4-6 7-65 6-75 6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Adam WaltonWalton (7-5 1-6 6-712 6-1 7-68) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-2 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Casper RuudRuud (6-4 7-5 6-71 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-65 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-73 7-64 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (7-69 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (5-7 6-3 7-61 7-68) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Borna CoricCoric (7-65 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-3 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (4-6 7-67 1-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-63 7-64 2-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (7-6(3) 6-3 1-6 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Lloyd HarrisHarris (4-6 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Juncheng ShangShang (5-7 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (7-6(5) 6-4 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Adam WaltonWalton (7-5 1-6 6-7(12) 6-1 7-6(8)) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-2 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Fabio FogniniFognini (3-9) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Lucas PouillePouille (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alexander BublikBublik (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (0-0) – H2H and prediction
