Gastao Elias and Lorenzo Carboni will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Poznan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gastao Elias who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gastao Elias is the pick to win this match.
Gastao Elias -> 1.44
Lorenzo Carboni -> 2.66
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Prediction and head to head Gastao Elias vs. Lorenzo Carboni
There is no head to head record between Gastao Elias and Lorenzo Carboni since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Gastao Elias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-32 | 8-5 | 27-25 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-18 | 10-8 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-18 | 13-5 | 24-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-7 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 359, the Portuguese reached the qualifications after defeating Aleksander Blus 6-0 6-3.
In the qualifications, Elias had a good straight sets win against Blus (6-0 6-3). During the match, Elias scored 54 points vs Blus’s 27. Gastao was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Regarding the service games, Elias was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 47% of his first serves in, winning 70% (16/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. Elias broke Blus 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Elias has positive record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (284-227). 12-9 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Elias has a compiled 206-147 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Gastao’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.
Elias has an aggregate 26-15 win-loss record in 2024, 12-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
Lorenzo Carboni
7 - 14win/loss
887
682
LWLWWWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-26 | 8-7 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-20 | 15-7 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 714, Lorenzo got to the qualifications after beating Yanki Erel 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Erel (6-4 6-4). During the match Carboni scored 70 points vs Erel’s 55. Carboni was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Carboni scored 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Carboni was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Erel 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Lorenzo has an aggregate 7-14 win-loss record in 2024, 3-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Elias | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 |
| Pts | 54-27 | 70-55 |
| Total Points | 81 | 125 |
| Winners | 16 | 21 |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% |
Both Elias and Carboni played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Elias and Carboni have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Elias played 5 games less than Carboni. The Portuguese scored 16 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo fired 21 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Elias | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 23/49 | 26/56 |
| %1st in | 47% | 46% |
| 1st pts | 16/23 | 21/26 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 19/30 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 63% |
Elias didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Carboni scored 2 aces . Elias won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Carboni won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Elias | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 3/10 |
| % Converted | 86% | 30% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 1 |
| % Saved | 33% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Portuguese broke his opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Elias dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Carboni conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Elias | |||
| Q1 Blus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 54-27 | 54-27 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 23/49 | 23/49 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/26 | 14/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Carboni | |||
| Q1 Erel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 70-55 | 70-55 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/56 | 26/56 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 19/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLLW
LWLWWWLLLL 
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