Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini will square off in the final of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.082
Jasmine Paolini -> 8.4
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-0 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini – U.S. Open 30-August-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the final after beating Leolia Jeanjean 6-1 6-2, Naomi Osaka 7-61 1-6 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 6-4 6-2, Anastasia Potapova 6-0 6-0, Marketa Vondrousova 6-0 6-2 and Cori Gauff 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-2 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 72 points vs Gauff’s 54. Iga was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 67% of her first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Gauff 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (329-71). 20-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled131-17 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Pole has a compiled 44-4 win-loss record in 2024, 20-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Jasmine Paolini
22 - 10win/loss
4
4
WLWLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Paolini reached the final after defeating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-66, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-0, Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-1, Elena Rybakina 6-2 4-6 6-4 and Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-3 6-1). During the match Paolini scored 63 points vs Andreeva’s 43. Paolini was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 80% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Andreeva 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Paolini has an overall 22-10 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020, 2021 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 109 | 131 |
| Pts | 404-282 | 486-391 |
| Total Points | 686 | 877 |
| Winners | 154 | 187 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Swiatek and Paolini played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set, while Jasmine Paolini surrendered 3 sets. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (13 vs 15). Therefore, Swiatek played 22 games less than Paolini. Iga scored 154 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 187 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 211/330 | 305/436 |
| %1st in | 64% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 154/211 | 187/305 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 68/119 | 67/131 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 51% |
Swiatek fired 6 aces (1 per match). Paolini managed to score 5 aces (0.8 per match). Swiatek won 73% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 28 | 37 |
| Converted | 28/52 | 37/76 |
| % Converted | 54% | 49% |
| Conceded | 17 | 43 |
| Saved | 9 | 23 |
| % Saved | 53% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 20 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 28 times with a 54% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 37 times with a 49% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 20 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||||
| R1 Jeanjean |
R2 Osaka |
R3 Bouzkova |
R4 Potapova |
1/4 Vondrousova |
1/2 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 7-61 1-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-0 6-0 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 32 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 109 | |
| pts | 54-29 | 109-114 | 63-44 | 48-10 | 58-31 | 72-54 | 404-282 | |
| Total points | 83 | 223 | 107 | 58 | 89 | 126 | 686 | |
| Winners | 21 | 45 | 23 | 15 | 23 | 27 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% | 37% | 31% | 40% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/37 | 69/115 | 31/49 | 16/27 | 26/39 | 42/63 | 211/330 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 60% | 63% | 59% | 67% | 67% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 45/69 | 23/31 | 15/16 | 23/26 | 27/42 | 154/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 65% | 74% | 94% | 88% | 64% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 22/46 | 12/18 | 9/11 | 6/13 | 14/21 | 68/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 67% | 82% | 46% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28 | |
| Converted | 6/6 | 3/15 | 4/7 | 6/8 | 5/9 | 4/7 | 28/52 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 20% | 57% | 75% | 56% | 57% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/9 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 44% | 0% | – | 100% | 75% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
| Paolini | ||||||||
| R1 Gavrilova |
R2 Baptiste |
R3 Andreescu |
R4 Avanesyan |
1/4 Rybakina |
1/2 Andreeva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 7-66 | 6-1 3-6 6-0 | 4-6 6-0 6-1 | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 28 | 16 | 131 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 82-75 | 79-57 | 92-73 | 97-83 | 63-43 | 486-391 | |
| Total points | 133 | 157 | 136 | 165 | 180 | 106 | 877 | |
| Winners | 25 | 30 | 27 | 36 | 37 | 32 | 187 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 37% | 34% | 39% | 38% | 51% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 45/65 | 47/75 | 38/58 | 62/85 | 65/93 | 48/60 | 305/436 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 66% | 73% | 70% | 80% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 25/45 | 30/47 | 27/38 | 36/62 | 37/65 | 32/48 | 187/305 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 64% | 71% | 58% | 57% | 67% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 14/28 | 11/20 | 10/23 | 18/28 | 7/12 | 67/131 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 64% | 58% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 37 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 5/8 | 6/12 | 8/17 | 7/16 | 4/6 | 37/76 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 63% | 50% | 47% | 44% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 43 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 5/9 | 6/11 | 6/6 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 33% | 33% | 56% | 55% | 100% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
WLWLLWLWWL Tennis Scores – French Open
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Mate ValkuszValkusz (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
