Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur will face off in the 4th round of the French Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.533
Alex De Minaur -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 6-2 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alex De Minaur – Beijing 30-September-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-20 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the Russian reached the 4th round after beating Dominik Koepfer 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3, Miomir Kecmanovic 6-1 5-0 ret. and Tomas Machac 7-64 7-5 1-6 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Machac (7-64 7-5 1-6 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 144 points vs Machac’s 141. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 14 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 66% (61/93) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Machac 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (491-194). 9-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 66-42 record in the last years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
The Russian has a compiled 27-7 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-17 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-5 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Australian reached the 4th round after defeating Alex Michelsen 6-1 6-0 6-2, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 6-1 6-4 and Jan-Lennard Struff 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round against Struff, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3). During the match De Minaur scored 128 points vs Struff’s 118. De Minaur was pretty aggressive to blast 55 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur blasted 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 60% of his first serves in, winning 65% (55/84) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (29/57) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Struff 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.
Alex has a composed 28-10 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019, 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 88 |
| Pts | 328-275 | 321-248 |
| Total Points | 603 | 569 |
| Winners | 140 | 109 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Both Medvedev and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev conceded 2 sets, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Medvedev has played 1 set more than De Minaur (11 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 6 games more than De Minaur. Daniil scored 140 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur struck 109 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 193/288 | 154/284 |
| %1st in | 67% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 140/193 | 109/154 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 44/95 | 74/130 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 57% |
Medvedev struck 21 aces (7 per match). De Minaur struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Medvedev won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 22 |
| Converted | 17/30 | 22/36 |
| % Converted | 57% | 61% |
| Conceded | 19 | 22 |
| Saved | 10 | 15 |
| % Saved | 53% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
Daniil broke his opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 22 times with a 61% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Koepfer |
R2 Kecmanovic |
R3 Machac |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-1 5-0 ret. | 7-64 7-5 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 40 | 12 | 42 | 94 | |
| pts | 134-109 | 50-25 | 144-141 | 328-275 | |
| Total points | 243 | 75 | 285 | 603 | |
| Winners | 56 | 23 | 61 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 46% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 73/108 | 27/31 | 93/149 | 193/288 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 87% | 62% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 56/73 | 23/27 | 61/93 | 140/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 85% | 66% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/35 | 1/4 | 28/56 | 44/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 25% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 17/30 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 56% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 15 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0/0 | 10/15 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 67% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Michelsen |
R2 Munar Clar |
R3 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 6-4 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 38 | 88 | |
| pts | 91-52 | 102-78 | 128-118 | 321-248 | |
| Total points | 143 | 180 | 246 | 569 | |
| Winners | 24 | 30 | 55 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 29% | 43% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 32/62 | 38/81 | 84/141 | 154/284 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 47% | 60% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 30/38 | 55/84 | 109/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 79% | 65% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 25/43 | 29/57 | 74/130 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 58% | 51% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 7/13 | 7/10 | 22/36 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 54% | 70% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 15 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 11/15 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 73% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWW
WWWWLLWWWW Tennis Scores – French Open
- Taylor FritzFritz – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (6-3 6-2 6-74 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (7-5 6-76 2-6 6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tomas MachacMachac (7-64 7-5 1-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 7-60 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (4-6 6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Zizou BergsBergs (6-3 7-64 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Ben SheltonShelton (6-4 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (3-6 6-3 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Jozef KovalikKovalik (7-5 6-1 7-62) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (6-4 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sebastian OfnerOfner (3-6 6-4 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Andrey RublevRublev (7-66 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-6) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (3-2) – H2H and prediction
