Madison Keys and Emma Navarro will play each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Court SUZANNE-LENGLEN. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.7
Emma Navarro -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Emma Navarro
This will be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Emma Navarro square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Navarro won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Guadalajara back in 2023.
Madison Keys
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 23-10 | 6-4 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Keys got to the 3rd round after beating Renata Zarazua 6-3 6-2 and Mayar Sherif 6-0 7-67.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Sherif (6-0 7-67). During the match, Keys scored 69 points vs Sherif’s 50. The American was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Madison Keys was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (34/47) of her 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Keys broke Sherif 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Keys hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (250-134). 13-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has a compiled 67-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.
Keys has a compiled 16-5 win-loss record in 2024, 13-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Emma Navarro
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 52-22 | 31-12 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Zeynep Sonmez 6-2 6-0 and Sara Errani 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Errani (6-2 7-5). During the match Navarro scored 69 points vs Errani’s 53. Navarro was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Navarro made 2 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emma Navarro lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 75% of her first serves in, winning 57% (25/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (8/15) on the 2nd serve. Emma broke Errani 7 times after converting 78% of her break points (7/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Emma hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hobart where she overcame Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
The American has a composed 32-12 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Keys | Navarro |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
Tot Games | 36 | 34 |
Pts | 132-92 | 124-77 |
Total Points | 224 | 201 |
Winners | 60 | 39 |
%Winners | 45% | 31% |
Both Keys and Navarro played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Keys and Navarro have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Keys played 2 games more than Navarro. Madison scored 60 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Emma blasted 39 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Keys | Navarro |
---|---|---|
Aces | 2 | 2 |
Avg per match | 1 | 1 |
1st in | 87/111 | 64/97 |
%1st in | 78% | 66% |
1st pts | 60/87 | 39/64 |
%1st pts | 69% | 61% |
2nd pts | 9/24 | 21/33 |
%2nd pts | 38% | 64% |
Keys made 2 aces (1 per match). Navarro made 2 aces (1 per match). Keys won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Keys | Navarro |
---|---|---|
Won | 11 | 13 |
Converted | 11/19 | 13/16 |
% Converted | 58% | 81% |
Conceded | 11 | 8 |
Saved | 7 | 3 |
% Saved | 64% | 38% |
Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 58% conversion rate. Keys dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Emma broke her opponents 13 times with a 81% conversion rate. Emma conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded.
Keys | ||||
R1 Zarazua |
R2 Sherif |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 7-67 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
pts | 63-42 | 69-50 | 132-92 | |
Total points | 105 | 119 | 224 | |
Winners | 26 | 34 | 60 | |
%Winners | 41% | 49% | 45% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
1st in | 40/55 | 47/56 | 87/111 | |
% 1st in | 73% | 84% | 78% | |
1st pts | 26/40 | 34/47 | 60/87 | |
% 1st pts | 65% | 72% | 69% | |
2nd pts | 4/15 | 5/9 | 9/24 | |
% 2nd pts | 27% | 56% | 38% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
Converted | 7/9 | 4/10 | 11/19 | |
Converted % | 78% | 40% | 58% | |
Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Saved | 5/8 | 2/3 | 7 | |
Saved % | 63% | 67% | 65% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Navarro | ||||
R1 Sonmez |
R2 Errani |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 14 | 20 | 34 | |
pts | 55-24 | 69-53 | 124-77 | |
Total points | 79 | 122 | 201 | |
Winners | 14 | 25 | 39 | |
%Winners | 25% | 36% | 31% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 20/38 | 44/59 | 64/97 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 75% | 66% | |
1st pts | 14/20 | 25/44 | 39/64 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 57% | 61% | |
2nd pts | 13/18 | 8/15 | 21/33 | |
% 2nd pts | 72% | 53% | 64% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
Converted | 6/7 | 7/9 | 13/16 | |
Converted % | 86% | 78% | 81% | |
Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
Saved | 1/2 | 2/6 | 3 | |
Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Head 2 Head
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