Holger Rune and Jozef Kovalik will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.129
Jozef Kovalik -> 6
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Jozef Kovalik
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-19 | 18-9 | 11-6 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Holger reached the 3rd round after defeating Daniel Evans 6-4 6-4 6-4 and Flavio Cobolli 6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-67.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a tough win against Cobolli to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-67). During the match, Rune scored 163 points vs Cobolli’s 162. Holger was very aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune recorded 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (58/79) of his 1st serve and 58% (42/73) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. The Dane broke Cobolli 4 times after converting 21% of his break points (4/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (227-117). 8-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has an aggregate119-53 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Dane’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Brisbane.
Holger has a composed 21-11 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Jozef Kovalik
24 - 11win/loss
123
80
LWWLLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-22 | 3-5 | 30-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-16 | 2-3 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Kovalik reached the 3rd round after defeating Benoit Paire 6-1 6-4, Benjamin Bonzi 6-3 6-2, Marcos Giron 7-63 6-4 3-6 7-65 and Karen Khachanov 4-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Kovalik had a tough win against Khachanov to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4). During the match Kovalik scored 156 points vs Khachanov’s 149. Kovalik was extremely aggressive to blast 60 winners.
About the serving games, Kovalik scored 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 5 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 62% of his first serves in, winning 61% (60/98) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (42/61) on the 2nd serve. Kovalik broke Khachanov 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kovalik started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Zadar Challenger where he defeated Adrian Andreev in the final 6-4 6-2 and the Split Challenger where he beat Zsombor Piros in the final 6-4 5-7 7-5.
The Slovakian has an aggregate 24-11 win-loss record in 2024, 21-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2017, 2018 and 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 128 |
| Pts | 268-254 | 418-377 |
| Total Points | 522 | 795 |
| Winners | 101 | 168 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Rune played 2 matches while Kovalik competed in 4 matches. Kovalik started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune lost 2 sets, while Jozef Kovalik lost 3 sets. Rune has played 5 set(s) less than Kovalik (8 vs 13). Therefore, Rune played 48 games less than Kovalik. Rune scored 101 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Slovakian bagged 168 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 136/248 | 236/396 |
| %1st in | 55% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 101/136 | 168/236 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 64/112 | 91/160 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 57% |
Rune made 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kovalik made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Rune won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Kovalik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 19 |
| Converted | 8/30 | 19/44 |
| % Converted | 27% | 43% |
| Conceded | 14 | 34 |
| Saved | 9 | 23 |
| % Saved | 64% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 11 |
Holger broke his opponents 8 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Dane surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Jozef broke his opponents 19 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Slovakian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||
| R1 Evans |
R2 Cobolli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 50 | 80 | |
| pts | 105-92 | 163-162 | 268-254 | |
| Total points | 197 | 325 | 522 | |
| Winners | 43 | 58 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 57/96 | 79/152 | 136/248 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 43/57 | 58/79 | 101/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 42/73 | 64/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 58% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/19 | 8/30 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 21% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Kovalik | |||||||
| Q1 Paire |
Q2 Bonzi |
Q3 Andres |
R1 Giron |
R2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | 7-63 6-4 3-6 7-65 | 4-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 33 | 45 | 49 | 161 | |
| pts | 56-37 | 55-40 | – | 151-151 | 156-149 | 418-377 | |
| Total points | 93 | 95 | 0 | 302 | 305 | 795 | |
| Winners | 24 | 22 | 62 | 60 | 168 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 0% | 41% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | ||
| 1st in | 28/41 | 23/47 | / | 87/149 | 98/159 | 236/396 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 49% | 0% | 58% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 22/23 | / | 62/87 | 60/98 | 168/236 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 96% | 0% | 71% | 61% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 14/24 | / | 29/62 | 42/61 | 91/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 58% | 0% | 47% | 69% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | ||
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/5 | / | 5/17 | 6/13 | 19/44 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 60% | 0% | 29% | 46% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 34 | ||
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/ | 10/15 | 13/18 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | – | 67% | 72% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 | ||
Head 2 Head
WWLLLWWWWL
LWWLLLLLLL Tennis Scores – French Open
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- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Casper RuudRuud (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-1) – H2H and prediction
