Caroline Garcia and Sofia Kenin will square off in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.533
Sofia Kenin -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Sofia Kenin
This will be the 3rd time that Caroline Garcia and Sofia Kenin face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Kenin won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in Hobart back in 2019.
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Caroline got to the 2nd round after beating Eva Lys 4-6 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round against Lys, Garcia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Garcia scored 107 points vs Lys’s 92. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Garcia made 18 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Caroline Garcia lost the serve 4 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 57% of her first serves in, winning 71% (44/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. Caroline broke Lys 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Garcia has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (326-221). 6-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Garcia has an overall 81-53 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Caroline’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia and Rouen.
Caroline has an aggregate 15-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-23 | 4-14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-6 | 6-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Laura Siegemund 4-6 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round against Siegemund, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Kenin scored 84 points vs Siegemund’s 65. Sofia was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Kenin was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 69% of her first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. Kenin broke Siegemund 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Kenin has a compiled 5-13 win-loss record in 2024, 4-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garcia | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 |
| Pts | 107-92 | 84-65 |
| Total Points | 199 | 149 |
| Winners | 44 | 36 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Garcia and Kenin played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Caroline Garcia conceded 1 set, while Sofia Kenin surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Garcia and Kenin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Garcia played 4 games more than Kenin. Garcia scored 44 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Sofia fired 36 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garcia | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 18 | 0 |
| 1st in | 62/108 | 57/83 |
| %1st in | 57% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 36/57 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 22/46 | 16/26 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 62% |
Garcia recorded 18 aces . Kenin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Garcia won 71% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garcia | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/7 |
| % Converted | 40% | 86% |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Saved | 7 | 8 |
| % Saved | 64% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The French player broke her opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The French player dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Kenin broke her opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Garcia | |||
| R1 Lys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 107-92 | 107-92 | |
| Total points | 199 | 199 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 18 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 62/108 | 62/108 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/62 | 44/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/46 | 22/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Kenin | |||
| R1 Siegemund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 84-65 | 84-65 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/83 | 57/83 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 36/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 16/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWLWLW
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