Danielle Rose Collins and Madison Keys will face off in the final of the Internationaux de Strasbourg for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:30 pm on Court Patrice Dominguez. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Danielle Rose Collins is the pick to win this match.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.52
Madison Keys -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Danielle Rose Collins vs. Madison Keys
This will be the 3rd time that Danielle Rose Collins and Madison Keys square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Collins and Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Keys won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in Brisbane back in 2020.
Danielle Rose Collins
35 - 10win/loss
11
7
LLLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Collins reached the final after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-1 6-2, Clara Burel 6-1 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 7-63 6-2.
In the semifinal, Danielle had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (7-63 6-2). During the match, Collins scored 73 points vs Kalinina’s 60. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Collins scored 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Danielle Rose Collins was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (25/32) of her 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Collins broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Collins hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points she played.
Collins has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of her matches (248-138). 15-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Collins has an overall64-30 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Miami where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Charleston where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-2 6-1.
Danielle has a compiled 35-9 win-loss record in 2024, 15-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Strasbourg
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Keys reached the final after beating Xinyu Wang 7-5 6-0, Magda Linette 6-1 6-3 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Madison had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-1 6-3). During the match Keys scored 63 points vs Samsonova’s 42. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Keys was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 76% of her first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Samsonova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Madison’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Madrid and Strasbourg.
Keys has an overall 13-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Collins | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 50 |
| Pts | 188-129 | 187-130 |
| Total Points | 317 | 317 |
| Winners | 70 | 84 |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% |
Both Collins and Keys played 3 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Collins and Keys have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Collins played 2 games more than Keys. Danielle scored 70 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 84 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Collins | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 92/153 | 116/160 |
| %1st in | 60% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 70/92 | 84/116 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 35/61 | 19/44 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 43% |
Collins struck 3 aces (1 per match). Keys scored 4 aces (1.3 per match). Collins won 76% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Collins | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 15 |
| Converted | 13/20 | 15/27 |
| % Converted | 65% | 56% |
| Conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The American broke her opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Collins dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Collins | |||||
| R2 Siniakova |
1/4 Burel |
1/2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 21 | 52 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 57-37 | 73-60 | 188-129 | |
| Total points | 90 | 94 | 133 | 317 | |
| Winners | 23 | 22 | 25 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 29/43 | 32/61 | 92/153 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 67% | 52% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 22/29 | 25/32 | 70/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 7/14 | 15/29 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 50% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/7 | 4/7 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 71% | 57% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/1 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Keys | |||||
| R2 Wang |
1/4 Linette |
1/2 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 16 | 16 | 50 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 57-39 | 63-42 | 187-130 | |
| Total points | 116 | 96 | 105 | 317 | |
| Winners | 33 | 28 | 23 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | 37% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 37/46 | 38/50 | 116/160 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 80% | 76% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 28/37 | 23/38 | 84/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 61% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/23 | 5/9 | 6/12 | 19/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 56% | 50% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/8 | 6/10 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 60% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | 33% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWWLW
LLWWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Strasbourg
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
