Mattia Bellucci and Francesco Maestrelli will square off in the 1st round of the Turin Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on CAMPO 5. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.87
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Francesco Maestrelli
This will be the 3rd time that Mattia Bellucci and Francesco Maestrelli clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Bellucci and Maestrelli (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Maestrelli won 6-3 6-1 in the quarter in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula back in 2022.
Mattia Bellucci
11 - 16win/loss
104
101
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-30 | 31-16 | 5-2 | 6-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 176, the Italian reached the 1st round after beating Ivan Gakhov 7-60 6-2 and Alexis Galarneau 6-73 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications against Galarneau, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 6-2). During the match, Bellucci scored 100 points vs Galarneau’s 91. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 53% of his first serves in, winning 62% (32/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (27/46) on the 2nd serve. Bellucci broke Galarneau 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (195-116). 2-0 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a composed48-34 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Bellucci has an overall 11-15 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Mattia has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
16 - 15win/loss
288
149
WLWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-34 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, Francesco reached the 1st round after defeating Hugo Dellien 2-6 7-5 6-3 and Matteo Gigante 7-62 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Gigante (7-62 6-2). During the match Maestrelli scored 79 points vs Gigante’s 65. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Maestrelli recorded 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 52% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Gigante 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Tenerife 2 Challenger and the Szekesfehervar Challenger.
Francesco has a compiled 15-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 50 |
| Pts | 175-148 | 169-155 |
| Total Points | 323 | 324 |
| Winners | 66 | 74 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Bellucci and Maestrelli played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci surrendered 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Maestrelli have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Bellucci played 1 game more than Maestrelli. Mattia scored 66 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 74 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 9 |
| 1st in | 94/165 | 100/171 |
| %1st in | 57% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 66/94 | 74/100 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 43/71 | 33/71 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 46% |
Bellucci struck 6 aces (3 per match). Maestrelli struck 18 aces (9 per match). Bellucci won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/18 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded | 12 | 19 |
| Saved | 9 | 14 |
| % Saved | 75% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Francesco broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||
| Q1 Gakhov |
Q3 Galarneau |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-60 6-2 | 6-73 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 30 | 51 | |
| pts | 75-57 | 100-91 | 175-148 | |
| Total points | 132 | 191 | 323 | |
| Winners | 34 | 32 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 32% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/67 | 52/98 | 94/165 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 32/52 | 66/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 62% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 27/46 | 43/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 59% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 6/13 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 46% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||
| Q1 Dellien |
Q3 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 21 | 50 | |
| pts | 90-90 | 79-65 | 169-155 | |
| Total points | 180 | 144 | 324 | |
| Winners | 41 | 33 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/98 | 38/73 | 100/171 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 52% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/62 | 33/38 | 74/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 87% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 15/35 | 33/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/9 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 7 | 19 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 6/7 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 86% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
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