Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff will play each other in the semifinal of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 11^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.22
Cori Gauff -> 4.3

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Cori Gauff

This will be the 11^th time that Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff play each other. The head to head is 9-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-0 7-5 in the R in Cancun back in 2023.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Cori Gauff – Cancun 01-November-2023

Iga Swiatek

Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the semifinal after beating Bernarda Pera 6-0 6-2, Yulia Putintseva 6-3 6-4, Angelique Kerber 7-5 6-3 and Madison Keys 6-1 6-3.

In the quarter, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-1 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 62 points vs Keys’s 43. Swiatek was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Keys 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (321-71). 12-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has an aggregate123-17 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she defeated Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

Swiatek has a composed 36-4 win-loss record in 2024, 12-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Gauff got to the semifinal after beating Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 0-6 6-3, Paula Badosa Gibert 5-7 6-4 6-1 and Qinwen Zheng 7-6⁴ 6-1.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Zheng (7-6⁴ 6-1). During the match Gauff scored 75 points vs Zheng’s 59. Gauff was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Gauff scored 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve once. Furthermore, Gauff put 67% of her first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (8/20) on the 2nd serve. Gauff broke Zheng 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gauff has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Auckland where she overcame Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.

Gauff has an aggregate 25-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Gauff
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	10
Tot Games	70	89
Pts	280-203	325-268
Total Points	483	593
Winners	117	112
%Winners	42%	34%

Both Swiatek and Gauff played 4 matches. At the moment, Cori Gauff dropped 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Gauff (8 vs 10). Therefore, Swiatek played 19 games less than Gauff. Iga scored 117 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Gauff recorded 112 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Gauff
Aces	3	9
Avg per match	0.8	2.3
1st in	168/251	149/299
%1st in	67%	50%
1st pts	117/168	112/149
%1st pts	70%	75%
2nd pts	51/83	63/150
%2nd pts	61%	42%

Swiatek scored 3 aces (0.8 per match). Gauff bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Swiatek won 70% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Gauff
Won	17	22
Converted	17/40	22/48
% Converted	43%	46%
Conceded	23	28
Saved	19	15
% Saved	83%	54%
Times Broken	4	13

The Pole broke her opponents 17 times with a 43% conversion rate. Swiatek lost her serve 4 times and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Cori broke her opponents 22 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R2 Pera	R3 Putintseva	R4 Kerber	1/4 Keys	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	6-3 6-4	7-5 6-3	6-1 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	14	19	21	16	70
pts	69-44	75-59	74-57	62-43	280-203
Total points	113	134	131	105	483
Winners	21	32	30	34	117
%Winners	30%	43%	41%	55%	42%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	2	1	3
Double Faults	0	2	1	1	4
1st in	30/52	45/73	45/62	48/64	168/251
% 1st in	58%	62%	73%	75%	67%
1st pts	21/30	32/45	30/45	34/48	117/168
% 1st pts	70%	71%	67%	71%	70%
2nd pts	13/22	17/28	12/17	9/16	51/83
% 2nd pts	59%	61%	71%	56%	61%
Breaks
Won	6	3	4	4	17
Converted	6/15	3/6	4/13	4/6	17/40
Converted %	40%	50%	31%	67%	43%
Conceded	5	5	3	10	23
Saved	4/5	4/5	1/3	10/10	19
Saved %	80%	80%	33%	100%	73%
Times Broken	1	1	2	0	4

Gauff
	R2 Frech	R3 Cristian	R4 Badosa	1/4 Zheng	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	6-1 0-6 6-3	5-7 6-4 6-1	7-64 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	18	22	29	20	89
pts	63-42	85-79	102-88	75-59	325-268
Total points	105	164	190	134	593
Winners	19	32	29	32	112
%Winners	30%	38%	28%	43%	34%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	3	2	9
Double Faults	9	15	11	6	41
1st in	27/53	44/86	38/100	40/60	149/299
% 1st in	51%	51%	38%	67%	50%
1st pts	19/27	32/44	29/38	32/40	112/149
% 1st pts	70%	73%	76%	80%	75%
2nd pts	10/26	17/42	28/62	8/20	63/150
% 2nd pts	38%	40%	45%	40%	42%
Breaks
Won	7	4	7	4	22
Converted	7/11	4/13	7/16	4/8	22/48
Converted %	64%	31%	44%	50%	46%
Conceded	8	10	9	1	28
Saved	4/8	7/10	4/9	0/1	15
Saved %	50%	70%	44%	0%	41%
Times Broken	4	3	5	1	13

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Thomas FabbianoFabbiano (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Cori GauffGauff (9-1) – H2H and prediction