Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.41
Tommy Paul -> 2.92

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 in the semifinal in Indian wells back in March 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul – Indian wells 16-March-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

24 - 7win/loss

Hard
18-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-3
Rank
5
High
1
LWLLLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 4, the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Jack Draper 7-5 6-4 and Hamad Medjedovic 7-65 2-6 7-5.

In the 3rd round, Medvedev defeated Medjedovic (7-65 2-6 7-5).During the match, Medvedev scored less points (7) than Medjedovic. In fact, the world no. 4 won 109 points vs Medjedovic’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Daniil was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev recorded 7 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (21/50) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Medjedovic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points he played.

Medvedev has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (488-193). 6-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 63-41 match record in the last years on clay.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

Medvedev has an overall 24-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Medvedev's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

18 - 7win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
4-1
Rank
12
High
12
LLWWWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-19 17-11 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, Paul got to the 4th round after defeating Aslan Karatsev 6-4 6-2 and Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (6-4 6-3). During the match Paul scored 77 points vs Koepfer’s 55. Tommy was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was very effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Koepfer 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tommy hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Dallas where he defeated Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.

Paul has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.

Rome
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
T.Paul
4h:37
4h:37
Time on court​
3h:11
3h:11
!
2h:50
2h:50
Last match​
1h:37
1h:37
2
2
Match played
2
2
55
55
Games Played​
37
37
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
183
183
Total points​
144
144
91.5
91.5
Avg point​
72
72
75
75
Winners
55
55
37.5
37.5
Avg Winners​
27.5
27.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
5
5
5
5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
12
12
Double Faults
5
5
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
75/102
75/102
1st won total​
55/76
55/76
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
35/85
35/85
2nd won total​
27/44
27/44
41%
41%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
9/17
9/17
BP won
7/20
7/20
4.5/8.5
4.5/8.5
Avg BP won
3.5/10
3.5/10
!
53%
53%
Won
35%
35%
23
23
Conceded
16
16
11.5
11.5
Avg Conceded
8
8
8
8
Broken
2
2
4
4
Avg Broken
1
1
15
15
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Paul
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 55 37
Pts 183-178 144-110
Total Points 361 254
Winners 75 55
%Winners 41% 38%

Both Medvedev and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Paul (5 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 18 games more than Paul. Daniil scored 75 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 55 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Paul
Aces 10 5
Avg per match 5 2.5
1st in 102/187 76/120
%1st in 55% 63%
1st pts 75/102 55/76
%1st pts 74% 72%
2nd pts 35/85 27/44
%2nd pts 41% 61%

Medvedev struck 10 aces (5 per match). Paul struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Medvedev won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Paul
Won 9 7
Converted 9/17 7/20
% Converted 53% 35%
Conceded 23 16
Saved 15 14
% Saved 65% 88%
Times Broken 8 2

Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Medvedev surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R2
Draper		 R3
Medjedovic		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4 7-65 2-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 33 55
pts 74-62 109-116 183-178
Total points 136 225 361
Winners 29 46 75
%Winners 39% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 7 10
Double Faults 2 10 12
1st in 35/70 67/117 102/187
% 1st in 50% 57% 55%
1st pts 29/35 46/67 75/102
% 1st pts 83% 69% 74%
2nd pts 14/35 21/50 35/85
% 2nd pts 40% 42% 41%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/9 4/8 9/17
Converted % 56% 50% 53%
Conceded 10 13 23
Saved 7/10 8/13 15
Saved % 70% 62% 66%
Times Broken 3 5 8
Paul
R2
Karatsev		 R3
Koepfer		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 19 37
pts 67-55 77-55 144-110
Total points 122 132 254
Winners 29 26 55
%Winners 43% 34% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 5
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 43/67 33/53 76/120
% 1st in 64% 62% 63%
1st pts 29/43 26/33 55/76
% 1st pts 67% 79% 72%
2nd pts 16/24 11/20 27/44
% 2nd pts 67% 55% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/4 4/16 7/20
Converted % 75% 25% 35%
Conceded 9 7 16
Saved 9/9 5/7 14
Saved % 100% 71% 86%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw

Medvedev
More Stats
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Paul

Click for FULL STATS