Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.41
Tommy Paul -> 2.92
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Tommy Paul
This will be the 4th time that Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Medvedev won 1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 in the semifinal in Indian wells back in March 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul – Indian wells 16-March-2024
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian reached the 4th round after defeating Jack Draper 7-5 6-4 and Hamad Medjedovic 7-65 2-6 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Medvedev defeated Medjedovic (7-65 2-6 7-5).During the match, Medvedev scored less points (7) than Medjedovic. In fact, the world no. 4 won 109 points vs Medjedovic’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Daniil was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev recorded 7 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (21/50) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Medjedovic 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (488-193). 6-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 63-41 match record in the last years on clay.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has an overall 24-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Paul got to the 4th round after defeating Aslan Karatsev 6-4 6-2 and Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (6-4 6-3). During the match Paul scored 77 points vs Koepfer’s 55. Tommy was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Paul bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was very effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Tommy broke Koepfer 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Dallas where he defeated Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.
Paul has an overall 17-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 37 |
| Pts | 183-178 | 144-110 |
| Total Points | 361 | 254 |
| Winners | 75 | 55 |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% |
Both Medvedev and Paul played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Paul (5 vs 4). Therefore, Medvedev played 18 games more than Paul. Daniil scored 75 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 55 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 102/187 | 76/120 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 75/102 | 55/76 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 35/85 | 27/44 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 61% |
Medvedev struck 10 aces (5 per match). Paul struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Medvedev won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/17 | 7/20 |
| % Converted | 53% | 35% |
| Conceded | 23 | 16 |
| Saved | 15 | 14 |
| % Saved | 65% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 2 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Medvedev surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R2 Draper |
R3 Medjedovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 7-65 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 33 | 55 | |
| pts | 74-62 | 109-116 | 183-178 | |
| Total points | 136 | 225 | 361 | |
| Winners | 29 | 46 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 10 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 35/70 | 67/117 | 102/187 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 46/67 | 75/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 69% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 21/50 | 35/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/8 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 | 23 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 8/13 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 62% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Paul | ||||
| R2 Karatsev |
R3 Koepfer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 67-55 | 77-55 | 144-110 | |
| Total points | 122 | 132 | 254 | |
| Winners | 29 | 26 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 43/67 | 33/53 | 76/120 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/43 | 26/33 | 55/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 79% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 11/20 | 27/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 55% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/16 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 25% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 5/7 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LLWWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-67 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-61) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-72 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-65 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-68 7-64) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (12-2) – H2H and prediction
