Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur will fight against each other in the 4^th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 15^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.46
Alex De Minaur -> 2.72

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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Alex De Minaur

This will be the 15^th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 12-2 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 1-6 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Acapulco back in February 2024.

Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Acapulco 29-February-2024

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranked no. 8, Stefanos reached the 4^th round after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-7¹ 6-4 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 6-2 7-6¹.

In the 3^rd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-2 7-6¹). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 66 points vs Norrie’s 53. Stefanos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tsitsipas managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Stefanos Tsitsipas was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Stefanos broke Norrie 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Stefanos has conceded 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (467-211). 12-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tsitsipas has a compiled 174-52 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Carlo where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-1 6-4.

Tsitsipas has a compiled 23-8 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 11, the Australian got to the 4^th round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-3 6-2 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-7² 6-4 6-4.

In the 3^rd round against Auger-Aliassime, De Minaur recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 6-4 6-4). During the match De Minaur scored 99 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 94. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 50% of his first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (27/44) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Auger-Aliassime 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4.

De Minaur has a compiled 25-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tsitsipas	De Minaur
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	54	50
Pts	182-162	163-133
Total Points	344	296
Winners	76	51
%Winners	42%	31%

Both Tsitsipas and De Minaur played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 1 set, while Alex De Minaur lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tsitsipas and De Minaur have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Tsitsipas played 4 games more than De Minaur. Tsitsipas scored 76 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur managed to score 51 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tsitsipas	De Minaur
Aces	10	5
Avg per match	5	2.5
1st in	101/159	71/135
%1st in	64%	53%
1st pts	76/101	51/71
%1st pts	75%	72%
2nd pts	31/58	38/64
%2nd pts	53%	59%

Tsitsipas recorded 10 aces (5 per match). De Minaur bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Tsitsipas won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tsitsipas	De Minaur
Won	8	10
Converted	8/25	10/25
% Converted	32%	40%
Conceded	9	8
Saved	5	4
% Saved	56%	50%
Times Broken	4	4

Stefanos broke his opponents 8 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Tsitsipas
	R2 Struff	R3 Norrie	Total
Score	6-71 6-4 6-4	6-2 7-61
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	33	21	54
pts	116-109	66-53	182-162
Total points	225	119	344
Winners	46	30	76
%Winners	40%	45%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	10
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	64/103	37/56	101/159
% 1st in	62%	66%	64%
1st pts	46/64	30/37	76/101
% 1st pts	72%	81%	75%
2nd pts	20/39	11/19	31/58
% 2nd pts	51%	58%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/16	3/9	8/25
Converted %	31%	33%	32%
Conceded	8	1	9
Saved	5/8	0/1	5
Saved %	63%	0%	32%
Times Broken	3	1	4

De Minaur
	R2 Carballes Baena	R3 Auger-Aliassime	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-72 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	33	50
pts	64-39	99-94	163-133
Total points	103	193	296
Winners	20	31	51
%Winners	31%	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	5
Double Faults	3	1	4
1st in	27/47	44/88	71/135
% 1st in	57%	50%	53%
1st pts	20/27	31/44	51/71
% 1st pts	74%	70%	72%
2nd pts	11/20	27/44	38/64
% 2nd pts	55%	61%	59%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/13	4/12	10/25
Converted %	46%	33%	40%
Conceded	4	4	8
Saved	2/4	2/4	4
Saved %	50%	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-7² 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-6⁵ 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-6⁸ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (12-2) – H2H and prediction