Nicolas Jarry and Alexandre Muller will play each other in the 4^th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.533
Alexandre Muller -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Alexandre Muller

This will be the 2^nd time that Nicolas Jarry and Alexandre Muller square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Jarry won 7-5 6-4 in the quarter in the Aix En Provence Challenger back in 2022.

Nicolas Jarry

Ranked no. 24, Nicolas got to the 4^th round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 7-6⁶ and Stefano Napolitano 6-2 4-6 6-4.

In the 3^rd round, The Chilean defeated Napolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match, Jarry scored 86 points vs Napolitano’s 79. Nicolas was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Jarry blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Jarry lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Jarry put 61% of his first serves in, winning 76% (39/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Napolitano 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Jarry has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (321-215). 6-6 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Jarry has a compiled 228-119 record in the last years on clay.

Jarry’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Buenos Aires.

Nicolas has a composed 13-11 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Alexandre Muller

Ranked no. 109, Muller reached the 4^th round after defeating Emilio Nava 4-6 6-1 6-4, Radu Albot 7-5 6-2, Marton Fucsovics 4-6 7-6⁵ 6-2, Arthur Fils 7-5 6-3 and Andrey Rublev 3-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 3^rd round against Rublev, Alexandre recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Muller scored 86 points vs Rublev’s 78. Alexandre was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Muller recorded 6 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Alexandre Muller was quite efficient on serve to win 72% (42/58) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Muller broke Rublev 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexandre started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Muller has a composed 16-14 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Jarry	Muller
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	5	13
Tot Games	49	125
Pts	168-144	420-364
Total Points	312	784
Winners	73	193
%Winners	43%	46%

Jarry played 2 matches while Muller competed in 5 matches. Muller started his run from the qualifications while Jarry had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Jarry dropped 1 set, while Alexandre Muller surrendered 3 sets. Jarry has played 8 set(s) less than Muller (5 vs 13). Therefore, Jarry played 76 games less than Muller. The Chilean scored 73 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandre made 193 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Jarry	Muller
Aces	13	15
Avg per match	6.5	3
1st in	94/156	271/406
%1st in	60%	67%
1st pts	73/94	193/271
%1st pts	78%	71%
2nd pts	32/62	76/135
%2nd pts	52%	56%

Jarry managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Muller made 15 aces (3 per match). Jarry won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Muller won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Jarry	Muller
Won	7	19
Converted	7/18	19/39
% Converted	39%	49%
Conceded	12	29
Saved	9	21
% Saved	75%	72%
Times Broken	3	8

The Chilean broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Jarry surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Muller broke his opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. Muller conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded.

Jarry
	R2 Arnaldi	R3 Napolitano	Total
Score	6-2 7-66	6-2 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	28	49
pts	82-65	86-79	168-144
Total points	147	165	312
Winners	34	39	73
%Winners	41%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	5	8	13
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	43/72	51/84	94/156
% 1st in	60%	61%	60%
1st pts	34/43	39/51	73/94
% 1st pts	79%	76%	78%
2nd pts	16/29	16/33	32/62
% 2nd pts	55%	48%	52%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/10	4/8	7/18
Converted %	30%	50%	39%
Conceded	5	7	12
Saved	4/5	5/7	9
Saved %	80%	71%	76%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Muller
	Q1 Nava	Q3 Albot	R1 Fucsovics	R2 Fils	R3 Rublev	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 6-4	7-5 6-2	4-6 7-65 6-2	7-5 6-3	3-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	3	13
Tot Games	27	20	31	21	26	125
pts	81-64	90-75	91-86	72-61	86-78	420-364
Total points	145	165	177	133	164	784
Winners	40	41	46	24	42	193
%Winners	49%	46%	51%	33%	49%	46%
SERVE
Aces	2	3	3	1	6	15
Double Faults	1	1	1	2	0	5
1st in	54/73	63/102	62/90	34/61	58/80	271/406
% 1st in	74%	62%	69%	56%	73%	67%
1st pts	40/54	41/63	46/62	24/34	42/58	193/271
% 1st pts	74%	65%	74%	71%	72%	71%
2nd pts	12/19	18/39	16/28	18/27	12/22	76/135
% 2nd pts	63%	46%	57%	67%	55%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	4	3	19
Converted	4/6	5/8	3/7	4/7	3/11	19/39
Converted %	67%	63%	43%	57%	27%	49%
Conceded	3	16	2	3	5	29
Saved	1/3	14/16	0/2	2/3	4/5	21
Saved %	33%	88%	0%	67%	80%	134%
Times Broken	2	2	2	1	1	8

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-7² 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-6⁵ 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Andrey RublevRublev (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-6⁷ 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Francesco PassaroPassaro (4-6 7-6⁸ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-2 4-6 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-6³ 6-2) – See score progression
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Holger RuneRune (2-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (12-2) – H2H and prediction