Jelena Ostapenko and Sara Sorribes Tormo will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.58
Sara Sorribes Tormo -> 2.39
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Sara Sorribes Tormo
This will be the 3rd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Sara Sorribes Tormo fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Sorribes Tormo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Sorribes Tormo won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 1st round in Linz back in 2016.
Jelena Ostapenko
22 - 9win/loss
15
5
LLLLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Latvian got to the 3rd round after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-4 6-2). During the match, Ostapenko scored 73 points vs Potapova’s 63. The Latvian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 51% of her first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Potapova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Ostapenko has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (304-199). 5-3 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a compiled 65-42 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.
Jelena has an aggregate 22-9 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Sara Sorribes Tormo
8 - 11win/loss
105
32
LLWWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-28 | 14-15 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-17 | 10-6 | 17-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 9-10 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 24-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-13 | 4-7 | 9-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, Sorribes Tormo reached the 3rd round after defeating Nadia Podoroska 6-4 6-3 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-3 1-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Sorribes Tormo defeated Pavlyuchenkova (6-3 1-6 7-5).During the match Sorribes Tormo scored less points (5) than Pavlyuchenkova. In fact, the world no. 10 won 84 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s. That means that Sorribes Tormo was more focused during the important points. Sara was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Sorribes Tormo was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Sara Sorribes Tormo lost the serve 7 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sorribes Tormo put 80% of her first serves in, winning 46% (30/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Sara broke Pavlyuchenkova 7 times after converting 54% of her break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Sorribes Tormo has a composed 8-11 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Sorribes Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 47 |
| Pts | 73-63 | 153-146 |
| Total Points | 136 | 299 |
| Winners | 25 | 63 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Ostapenko played 1 match while Sorribes Tormo competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sara Sorribes Tormo surrendered 1 set while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ostapenko has played 3 set(s) less than Sorribes Tormo (2 vs 5). Therefore, Ostapenko played 29 games less than Sorribes Tormo. The Latvian scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sorribes Tormo struck 63 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Sorribes Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 39/76 | 118/154 |
| %1st in | 51% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 25/39 | 63/118 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 53% |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 17/36 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 47% |
Ostapenko didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sorribes Tormo also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ostapenko won 64% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Sorribes Tormo won 53% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Sorribes Tormo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 12 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 10 |
Ostapenko broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Ostapenko surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Sorribes Tormo broke her opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. Sorribes Tormo conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Potapova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 73-63 | 73-63 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/76 | 39/76 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 25/39 | 25/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sorribes Tormo | ||||
| R1 Podoroska |
R2 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 47 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 84-89 | 153-146 | |
| Total points | 126 | 173 | 299 | |
| Winners | 33 | 30 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 53/73 | 65/81 | 118/154 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 80% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 33/53 | 30/65 | 63/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 46% | 53% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/20 | 9/16 | 17/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 56% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 7/13 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 54% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 5/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 42% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
LLWWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-61 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Linda NoskovaNoskova (3-6 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (5-7 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysMadison – Beatriz Haddad MaiaBeatriz (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Mayar SherifSherif (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Caroline GarciaGarcia (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Angelique KerberKerber (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
