Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Angelique Kerber will square off in the 3^rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Angelique Kerber who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Angelique Kerber is the pick to win this match.
Angelique Kerber -> 1.64
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 2.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs. Angelique Kerber

This will be the 4^th time that Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Angelique Kerber face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Kerber (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Sasnovich won 6-4 7-6(5) in the 3^rd round in at the French Open back in 2022.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Ranked no. 113, the Belarussian got to the 3^rd round after beating Alycia Parks 6-1 6-1, Aleksandra Krunic 7-5 6-2, Anna Schmiedlova 6-2 7-6⁶ and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-0 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Sasnovich had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-0 6-1). During the match, Sasnovich scored 58 points vs Alexandrova’s 24. Aliaksandra was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sasnovich was unable to score even 1 ace and she committed only 2 double faults. Aliaksandra Sasnovich was very effective on serve to win 87% (20/23) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sasnovich broke Alexandrova 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Sasnovich has good match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of her matches (264-218). 6-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sasnovich has a composed 61-57 record in the last years on clay.

Sasnovich has a composed 11-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Angelique Kerber

Ranked no. 331, Kerber reached the 3^rd round after beating Lauren Davis 6-1 6-0 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-0.

In the 2^nd round, Kerber had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 6-0). During the match Kerber scored 55 points vs Kudermetova’s 31. Kerber was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Kerber bagged 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Angelique Kerber conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 73% of her first serves in, win 68% (25/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Kudermetova 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kerber hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 65% of the points she played.

Kerber’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.

The German has an aggregate 6-9 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2012. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sasnovich	Kerber
Match played	4	2
Tot Set	8	4
Tot Games	68	28
Pts	277-196	116-63
Total Points	473	179
Winners	98	49
%Winners	35%	42%

Sasnovich played 4 matches while Kerber competed in 2 matches. Sasnovich started her run from the qualifications while Kerber had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Sasnovich has played 4 sets more than Kerber (8 vs 4). Therefore, Sasnovich played 40 games more than Kerber. The Belarussian scored 98 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 49 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sasnovich	Kerber
Aces	2	2
Avg per match	0.5	1
1st in	152/236	69/97
%1st in	64%	71%
1st pts	98/152	49/69
%1st pts	64%	71%
2nd pts	49/84	18/28
%2nd pts	58%	64%

Sasnovich scored 2 aces (0.5 per match). Kerber bagged 2 aces (1 per match). Sasnovich won 64% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Kerber won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sasnovich	Kerber
Won	20	9
Converted	20/46	9/14
% Converted	43%	64%
Conceded	22	1
Saved	17	1
% Saved	77%	100%
Times Broken	5	0

Sasnovich broke her opponents 20 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Angelique broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Kerber was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Sasnovich
	Q1 Parks	Q3 Krunic	R1 Anna Schmiedlova	R2 Alexandrova	Total
Score	6-1 6-1	7-5 6-2	6-2 7-66	6-0 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	14	20	21	13	68
pts	58-34	77-65	84-73	58-24	277-196
Total points	92	142	157	82	473
Winners	19	31	28	20	98
%Winners	33%	40%	33%	34%	35%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1	0	2
Double Faults	1	5	1	2	9
1st in	26/46	50/76	53/76	23/38	152/236
% 1st in	57%	66%	70%	61%	64%
1st pts	19/26	31/50	28/53	20/23	98/152
% 1st pts	73%	62%	53%	87%	64%
2nd pts	12/20	11/26	16/23	10/15	49/84
% 2nd pts	60%	42%	70%	67%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	6	4	5	20
Converted	5/6	6/10	4/18	5/12	20/46
Converted %	83%	60%	22%	42%	43%
Conceded	4	11	5	2	22
Saved	4/4	8/11	3/5	2/2	17
Saved %	100%	73%	60%	100%	83%
Times Broken	0	3	2	0	5

Kerber
	R1 Davis	R2 Kudermetova	Total
Score	6-1 6-0	6-3 6-0
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	13	15	28
pts	61-32	55-31	116-63
Total points	93	86	179
Winners	24	25	49
%Winners	39%	45%	42%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	32/46	37/51	69/97
% 1st in	70%	73%	71%
1st pts	24/32	25/37	49/69
% 1st pts	75%	68%	71%
2nd pts	8/14	10/14	18/28
% 2nd pts	57%	71%	64%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/9	4/5	9/14
Converted %	56%	80%	64%
Conceded	1	0	1
Saved	1/1	0/0	1
Saved %	100%	–	25%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Elise MertensMertens – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Clara TausonTauson (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Qinwen Zheng
  Zheng – Shelby RogersRogers (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Bernarda PeraPera (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini (6-3 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (5-7 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Ana BogdanBogdan (6-2 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Xinyu WangWang (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Sloane StephensStephens (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Tatjana MariaMaria (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-0 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Angelique KerberKerber – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Lloyd HarrisHarris – Joris De LooreDe Loore (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Liam BroadyBroady – Jay ClarkeClarke (7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Martin RedlickiRedlicki – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Thomas FabbianoFabbiano – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Kaichi UchidaUchida (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
• Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-6⁶ 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Christopher EubanksEubanks – Michael MmohMmoh (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Prajnesh GunneswaranGunneswaran – Jc AragoneAragone (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Magda LinetteLinette (6-7(5) 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-4 ret.) – See score progression
• Caroline GarciaGarcia – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 1-6 7-5) – See score progression
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sara ErraniErrani (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Clara TausonTauson (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (4-6 7-5 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Magda LinetteLinette (3-2) – H2H and prediction
• Mayar SherifSherif – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Oceane DodinDodin (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Sara ErraniErrani (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Angelique KerberKerber – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Madison KeysKeys (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction