Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on PIETRANGELI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.9
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Madison Keys

This will be the 2nd time that Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Haddad Maia won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Zhuhai back in 2023.

Highlights Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Madison Keys – Zhuhai 24-October-2023

Beatriz Haddad Maia

Beatriz Haddad Maia

14 - 12win/loss

Hard
8-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-3
Rank
14
High
10
LWLWWWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 14-13 8-9 6-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 37-22 16-14 13-5 4-0 4-3 0-0
2022 51-23 23-14 14-5 2-2 12-2 0-0
2021 76-25 37-13 35-10 2-1 2-1 0-0
2020 27-2 27-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 13, the Brazilian reached the 3rd round after beating Xinyu Wang 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Wang, Haddad Maia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Haddad Maia scored 93 points vs Wang’s 78. Beatriz was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Haddad Maia managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 73% of her first serves in, winning 70% (42/60) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Wang 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Haddad Maia has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (349-183). 6-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Haddad Maia has an overall 136-70 match record in the last years on clay.

The Brazilian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.

Beatriz has an overall 14-12 win-loss record in 2024, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Haddad Maia's Record

Madison Keys

Madison Keys

8 - 4win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-2
Rank
16
High
7
LWWWLWWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 10-5 3-2 7-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 16, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The American defeated Camila Osorio Serrano (6-0 4-6 6-3). During the match Keys scored 90 points vs Camila Osorio Serrano’s 72. Madison was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Keys bagged 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 68% of her first serves in, winning 69% (31/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Camila Osorio Serrano 7 times after converting 39% of her break points (7/18).

Madison’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Madrid.

Madison has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.

Rome
Keys's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Haddad Maia
M.Keys
2h:16
2h:16
Time on court​
1h:47
1h:47
!
2h:16
2h:16
Last match​
1h:47
1h:47
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
25
25
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
93
93
Total points​
90
90
93
93
Avg point​
90
90
42
42
Winners
31
31
42
42
Avg Winners​
31
31
45%
45%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
3
3
2
2
Avg Aces
3
3
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
3
3
Avg Double Faults
4
4
42/60
42/60
1st won total​
31/45
31/45
70%
70%
1st won %
69%
69%
11/22
11/22
2nd won total​
10/21
10/21
50%
50%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
5/11
5/11
BP won
7/18
7/18
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
7/18
7/18
45%
45%
Won
39%
39%
8
8
Conceded
6
6
8
8
Avg Conceded
6
6
4
4
Broken
3
3
4
4
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Haddad Maia Keys
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 25
Pts 93-78 90-72
Total Points 171 162
Winners 42 31
%Winners 45% 34%

Both Haddad Maia and Keys played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Beatriz Haddad Maia surrendered 1 set, while Madison Keys dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Haddad Maia and Keys have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Haddad Maia played 4 games more than Keys. The Brazilian scored 42 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 31 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Haddad Maia Keys
Aces 2 3
Avg per match 2 3
1st in 60/82 45/66
%1st in 73% 68%
1st pts 42/60 31/45
%1st pts 70% 69%
2nd pts 11/22 10/21
%2nd pts 50% 48%

Haddad Maia recorded 2 aces . Keys made 3 aces . Haddad Maia won 70% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Haddad Maia Keys
Won 5 7
Converted 5/11 7/18
% Converted 45% 39%
Conceded 8 6
Saved 4 3
% Saved 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 3

Beatriz broke her opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Brazilian surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Haddad Maia
R2
Wang 		Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 93-78 93-78
Total points 171 171
Winners 42 42
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 60/82 60/82
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 42/60 42/60
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 11/22 11/22
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/11 5/11
Converted % 45% 45%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 4/8 4
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 4 4
Keys
R2
Camila Osorio Serrano		 Total
Score 6-0 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 90-72 90-72
Total points 162 162
Winners 31 31
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 45/66 45/66
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 31/45 31/45
% 1st pts 69% 69%
2nd pts 10/21 10/21
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/18 7/18
Converted % 39% 39%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 3/6 3
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 3 3

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw

Haddad Maia
More Stats
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Keys

Click for FULL STATS