Lorenzo Musetti and Daniel Elahi Galan will square off in the semifinal of the Cagliari Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.36
Daniel Elahi Galan -> 2.92
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Daniel Elahi Galan
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Daniel Elahi Galan face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Musetti won 6-3 6-0 in the quarter in Naples back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Daniel Elahi Galan – Naples 21-October-2022
Lorenzo Musetti
11 - 13win/loss
17
15
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Musetti reached the semifinal after beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-64 7-64 and Nuno Borges 1-6 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter against Borges, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 90 points vs Borges’s 78. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 57% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Borges 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (185-144). 4-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an aggregate105-60 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Lorenzo has a compiled 11-13 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Elahi Galan
10 - 11win/loss
127
56
LWLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-33 | 5-7 | 25-24 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-34 | 4-12 | 23-19 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-28 | 14-7 | 33-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-32 | 6-9 | 19-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-18 | 14-8 | 17-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, the Colombian got to the semifinal after beating Radu Albot 2-6 7-63 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 3-6 6-2 6-2 and Marton Fucsovics w/o.
In the quarter, Elahi Galan Riveros defeated Fucsovics (w/o). During the match Elahi Galan Riveros and Fucsovics scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 29 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Colombian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Elahi Galan Riveros couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daniel Elahi Galan conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elahi Galan Riveros has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Colombian has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Elahi Galan Riveros |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 56 |
| Pts | 179-155 | 191-187 |
| Total Points | 334 | 378 |
| Winners | 66 | 60 |
| %Winners | 37% | 31% |
Both Musetti and Elahi Galan Riveros played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 1 set, while Daniel Elahi Galan surrendered 2 sets. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Elahi Galan Riveros (5 vs 6). Therefore, Musetti played 8 games less than Elahi Galan Riveros. The Italian scored 66 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Elahi Galan Riveros recorded 60 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Elahi Galan Riveros |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 98/169 | 103/188 |
| %1st in | 58% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 66/98 | 60/103 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 36/71 | 41/85 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Musetti recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Elahi Galan Riveros also blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Musetti won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Elahi Galan Riveros won 58% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Elahi Galan Riveros |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 59% | 48% |
| Conceded | 21 | 23 |
| Saved | 13 | 12 |
| % Saved | 62% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 11 |
The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Elahi Galan Riveros broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Elahi Galan Riveros conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | ||||
| R2 Manuel |
1/4 Borges |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-64 | 1-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 90-78 | 179-155 | |
| Total points | 166 | 168 | 334 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 48/82 | 50/87 | 98/169 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 33/50 | 66/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 66% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 16/37 | 36/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 43% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/11 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 9/13 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 69% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Elahi Galan Riveros | |||||
| R1 Albot |
R2 Eubanks |
1/4 Fucsovics |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-63 6-4 | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | – | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 25 | – | 56 | |
| pts | 105-109 | 86-78 | – | 191-187 | |
| Total points | 214 | 164 | – | 378 | |
| Winners | 36 | 24 | – | 60 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 28% | – | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | – | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | – | 1 | |
| 1st in | 57/108 | 46/80 | – | 103/188 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 58% | – | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 24/46 | – | 60/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 52% | – | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/51 | 19/34 | – | 41/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 56% | – | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | – | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 8/10 | – | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 80% | – | 48% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 | – | 23 | |
| Saved | 6/12 | 6/11 | – | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 55% | – | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 | – | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
LWLLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Cagliari Challenger
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Federico CoriaCoria (6-1 3-4 ret.) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Emilio NavaNava (4-6 6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (w/o) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico CoriaCoria – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
