Lorenzo Musetti and Nuno Borges will clash against each other in the quarter of the Cagliari Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.61
Nuno Borges -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Nuno Borges
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Nuno Borges fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Borges (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Borges won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Estoril back in April 2024.
Highlights Nuno Borges vs Lorenzo Musetti – Estoril 04-April-2024
Lorenzo Musetti
11 - 13win/loss
17
15
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Musetti got to the quarter after defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-64 7-64.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Manuel Cerundolo (7-64 7-64). During the match, Musetti scored 89 points vs Manuel Cerundolo’s 77. Lorenzo was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti was unable to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Manuel Cerundolo 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (184-144). 3-4 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Musetti has an aggregate104-60 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Italian has a composed 10-13 win-loss record in 2024, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cagliari Challenger
Lorenzo has never competed in this tournament before.
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 31-7 | 29-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Nuno got to the quarter after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 7-5 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 6-73 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Nuno defeated Nishioka (6-3 6-73 6-3). During the match Borges scored 118 points vs Nishioka’s 106. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Borges scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 55% of his first serves in, winning 63% (42/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (27/54) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Nishioka 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nuno has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4).
The Portuguese has an overall 17-12 win-loss record in 2024, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 52 |
| Pts | 89-77 | 188-158 |
| Total Points | 166 | 346 |
| Winners | 33 | 72 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Musetti played 1 match while Borges competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Nuno Borges surrendered 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Musetti has played 3 set(s) less than Borges (2 vs 5). Therefore, Musetti played 26 games less than Borges. Musetti scored 33 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nuno recorded 72 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 48/82 | 106/182 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 72/106 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 37/76 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 49% |
Musetti didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Borges managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Musetti won 69% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 13 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 13/20 |
| % Converted | 67% | 65% |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 |
| Saved | 4 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Nuno conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||
| R2 Manuel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 89-77 | |
| Total points | 166 | 166 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/82 | 48/82 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 33/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Borges | ||||
| R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-73 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 31 | 52 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 118-106 | 188-158 | |
| Total points | 122 | 224 | 346 | |
| Winners | 30 | 42 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/61 | 67/121 | 106/182 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 55% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 42/67 | 72/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 63% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 27/54 | 37/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/13 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 62% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 16 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 12/16 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 125% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
LLLLWWWLLW 
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