Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 4:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.197
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 4.65
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Alcaraz won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the final in Madrid back in 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff – Madrid 07-May-2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O4vV-6yLN2U
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Carlos got to the 4th round after defeating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-1 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Seyboth Wild (6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 64 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 43. Alcaraz was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 67% of his first serves in, winning 87% (27/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (7/15) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 62% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (250-67). 4-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate128-33 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
The Spaniard has an overall 17-4 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Jan-Lennard Struff
14 - 9win/loss
42
21
LWLWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-21 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 5-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-15 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Struff got to the 4th round after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-1 7-5 and Ugo Humbert 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Humbert (7-5 6-4). During the match Struff scored 69 points vs Humbert’s 62. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff fired 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of his 1st serve and 72% (21/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Struff broke Humbert twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan-Lennard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Munich where he beat Taylor Fritz in the final 7-5 6-3.
Jan-Lennard has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 41 |
| Pts | 123-77 | 144-112 |
| Total Points | 200 | 256 |
| Winners | 44 | 56 |
| %Winners | 36% | 39% |
Both Alcaraz and Struff played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Struff have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Alcaraz played 8 games less than Struff. The Spaniard scored 44 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Jan-Lennard struck 56 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 57/84 | 69/119 |
| %1st in | 68% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 56/69 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 32/50 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 64% |
Alcaraz managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Struff managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Alcaraz won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 6 |
| Converted | 11/17 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 65% | 43% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 40% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Struff broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jan-Lennard conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Shevchenko |
R3 Seyboth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 18 | 33 | |
| pts | 59-34 | 64-43 | 123-77 | |
| Total points | 93 | 107 | 200 | |
| Winners | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 42% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/38 | 31/46 | 57/84 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 17/26 | 27/31 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 87% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/15 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 4/6 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Struff | ||||
| R2 Munar Clar |
R3 Humbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| pts | 75-50 | 69-62 | 144-112 | |
| Total points | 125 | 131 | 256 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 34/63 | 69/119 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 54% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 26/34 | 56/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 21/29 | 32/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 72% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/4 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LWLWLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Ugo HumbertHumbert (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (7-610 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger RuneRune (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Tommy PaulPaul (6-77 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Jakub MensikMensik (6-1 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Sebastian KordaKorda (5-7 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Ben SheltonShelton (3-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pedro CachinCachin (6-1 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-4 7-6(7)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander BublikBublik (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Casper RuudRuud (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pavel KotovKotov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
