Evgeny Donskoy and Hiroki Moriya will face off in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hiroki Moriya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hiroki Moriya is the pick to win this match.
Hiroki Moriya -> 1.85
Evgeny Donskoy -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Evgeny Donskoy vs. Hiroki Moriya
There is no head to head record between Evgeny Donskoy and Hiroki Moriya since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Evgeny Donskoy
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-20 | 23-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 39-17 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-22 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 19-28 | 8-8 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-16 | 7-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 319, the Russian reached the qualifications after beating Remy Bertola 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Evgeny had a good straight sets win against Bertola (6-4 6-4). During the match, Donskoy scored 68 points vs Bertola’s 57. Evgeny was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Donskoy made 4 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Evgeny Donskoy was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (27/38) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Donskoy broke Bertola twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Donskoy has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (300-262). 9-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Donskoy has an aggregate 182-121 record in the last years on hard.
Evgeny’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 New Delhi.
Donskoy has a compiled 9-9 win-loss record in 2024, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Hiroki Moriya
17 - 12win/loss
397
143
LWWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-32 | 36-28 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 334, Hiroki got to the qualifications after defeating Linang Xiao 6-3 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Xiao (6-3 6-0). During the match Moriya scored 63 points vs Xiao’s 38. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Moriya was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 59% of his first serves in, winning 66% (19/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Moriya broke Xiao 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Moriya’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Traralgon.
Hiroki has a composed 17-12 win-loss record in 2024, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2014 and 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Donskoy | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 |
| Pts | 68-57 | 63-38 |
| Total Points | 125 | 101 |
| Winners | 27 | 19 |
| %Winners | 40% | 30% |
Both Donskoy and Moriya played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Donskoy and Moriya have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Donskoy played 5 games more than Moriya. The Russian scored 27 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Moriya bagged 19 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Donskoy | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0 |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 29/49 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 19/29 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 13/20 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 65% |
Donskoy managed to score 4 aces . Moriya didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Donskoy won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Donskoy | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 40% | 45% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Evgeny broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Donskoy pretty solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 5 break points. Moriya broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Hiroki conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Donskoy | |||
| Q1 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 68-57 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 38/65 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 27/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 19/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moriya | |||
| Q1 Xiao |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 63-38 | 63-38 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 19/29 | 19/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLWLL
LWWLWWLWLW 
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