H2H, prediction of Ons Jabeur vs Jelena Ostapenko in Madrid with odds, preview, pick | 29th April 2024

PREVIEW. Madrid. Jabeur and Ostapenko will play each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 29th of April

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Jelena Ostapenko

Ons Jabeur and Jelena Ostapenko will play each other in the 4th round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.7
Ons Jabeur -> 2.16

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Ons Jabeur vs. Jelena Ostapenko

This will be the 5th time that Ons Jabeur and Jelena Ostapenko face off. The head to head is 2-2 for Jabeur and Ostapenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Jabeur won 1-6 7-5 6-3 in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in 2023.

Highlights Ons Jabeur vs Jelena Ostapenko – Stuttgart 19-April-2023

Ons Jabeur

Ons Jabeur
Ons Jabeur

5 - 7win/loss

Hard
2-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-2
Rank
9
High
2
LLWWWLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 6-9 2-5 4-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 36-17 18-11 11-3 0-0 7-3 0-0
2022 47-17 19-12 17-4 0-0 11-1 0-0
2021 48-19 25-12 13-4 0-1 10-2 0-0
2020 23-11 18-8 3-2 2-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 9, Ons reached the 4th round after defeating Anna Schmiedlova 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 2-6 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Ons defeated Annie Fernandez (7-5 2-6 6-4). During the match, Jabeur and Annie Fernandez scored the same amount of points (104). However, the world no. 9 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Ons was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, Jabeur recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Ons Jabeur lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Jabeur put 58% of her first serves in, winning 74% (42/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 34% (14/41) on the 2nd serve. The Tunisian broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Tunisian has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Jabeur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (302-180). 3-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Jabeur has an overall 96-45 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Jabeur has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Jabeur
Madrid
Jabeur's Record

Jelena Ostapenko

Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko

21 - 8win/loss

Hard
13-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
4-2
Rank
10
High
5
LWWWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-10 13-6 7-4 4-0 0-0 0-0
2023 37-22 21-15 7-4 1-1 8-2 0-0
2022 33-19 19-10 3-3 3-3 8-3 0-0
2021 32-19 12-9 5-4 7-4 8-2 0-0
2020 9-8 3-2 4-3 2-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10, Jelena reached the 4th round after beating Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-1 and Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Lourdes Carle (6-3 6-3). During the match Ostapenko scored 70 points vs Lourdes Carle’s 57. Ostapenko was extremely aggressive to blast 19 winners.

Talking about serving, Ostapenko scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 63% of her first serves in, winning 56% (19/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Lourdes Carle 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jelena hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she overcame Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.

Ostapenko has a composed 21-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Ostapenko
Madrid
Ostapenko's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

O.Jabeur
J.Ostapenko
!
4h:52
4h:52
Time on court​
2h:35
2h:35
!
2h:24
2h:24
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
2
2
Match played
2
2
61
61
Games Played​
34
34
6
6
Set played​​
4
4
211
211
Total points​
131
131
105.5
105.5
Avg point​
65.5
65.5
77
77
Winners
43
43
38.5
38.5
Avg Winners​
21.5
21.5
36%
36%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
3
3
4
4
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
5
5
Double Faults
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
77/119
77/119
1st won total​
43/68
43/68
65%
65%
1st won %
63%
63%
36/83
36/83
2nd won total​
14/36
14/36
43%
43%
2nd won %
!
39%
39%
-- Break Points --
13/30
13/30
BP won
13/21
13/21
6.5/15
6.5/15
Avg BP won
6.5/10.5
6.5/10.5
43%
43%
Won
!
62%
62%
28
28
Conceded
13
13
14
14
Avg Conceded
6.5
6.5
11
11
Broken
6
6
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Broken
3
3
17
17
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Jabeur Ostapenko
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 4
Tot Games 61 34
Pts 211-204 131-102
Total Points 415 233
Winners 77 43
%Winners 36% 33%

Both Jabeur and Ostapenko played 2 matches. At the moment, Ons Jabeur surrendered 2 sets while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t dropped a set so far. Jabeur has played 2 sets more than Ostapenko (6 vs 4). Therefore, Jabeur played 27 games more than Ostapenko. Jabeur scored 77 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Latvian fired 43 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Jabeur Ostapenko
Aces 8 3
Avg per match 4 1.5
1st in 119/202 68/104
%1st in 59% 65%
1st pts 77/119 43/68
%1st pts 65% 63%
2nd pts 36/83 14/36
%2nd pts 43% 39%

Jabeur managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Ostapenko made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Jabeur won 65% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Jabeur Ostapenko
Won 13 13
Converted 13/30 13/21
% Converted 43% 62%
Conceded 28 13
Saved 17 7
% Saved 61% 54%
Times Broken 11 6

The Tunisian broke her opponents 13 times with a 43% conversion rate. Ons dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. Ostapenko broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 54% of the break points that she conceded.

Jabeur
R2
Anna Schmiedlova		 R3
Annie		 Total
Score 6-4 5-7 6-3 7-5 2-6 6-4
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 30 61
pts 107-100 104-104 211-204
Total points 207 208 415
Winners 35 42 77
%Winners 33% 40% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 3 2 5
1st in 62/104 57/98 119/202
% 1st in 60% 58% 59%
1st pts 35/62 42/57 77/119
% 1st pts 56% 74% 65%
2nd pts 22/42 14/41 36/83
% 2nd pts 52% 34% 43%
Breaks
Won 8 5 13
Converted 8/13 5/17 13/30
Converted % 62% 29% 43%
Conceded 15 13 28
Saved 9/15 8/13 17
Saved % 60% 62% 61%
Times Broken 6 5 11
Ostapenko
R2
Bouzas		 R3
Lourdes		 Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 18 34
pts 61-45 70-57 131-102
Total points 106 127 233
Winners 24 19 43
%Winners 39% 27% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 3 5 8
1st in 34/50 34/54 68/104
% 1st in 68% 63% 65%
1st pts 24/34 19/34 43/68
% 1st pts 71% 56% 63%
2nd pts 5/16 9/20 14/36
% 2nd pts 31% 45% 39%
Breaks
Won 6 7 13
Converted 6/7 7/14 13/21
Converted % 86% 50% 62%
Conceded 4 9 13
Saved 2/4 5/9 7
Saved % 50% 56% 53%
Times Broken 2 4 6

Head 2 Head

Ons Jabeur
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 9ITF
  • 2Minor
Jelena Ostapenko
  • 1Slam
  • 8Main
  • 1ITF
  • 6Minor

Ons
Jabeur

3:2

Jelena
Ostapenko

Rank

9

High

2

2Clay1

1I.hard0

0Grass1

Rank

10

High

5

Win Loss
Jabeur
LLWWWLWLLL
Ostapenko
LWWWLWWLWL
2024 2023 2022
6 - 9
24 - 10
2-5
Hard
13-6
0-0
I Hard
4-0
4-4
Clay
7-4

Tennis Scores in Madrid

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Jabeur
Ons Jabeur
More Stats
Click here
Ostapenko Jelena Ostapenko