Tennys Sandgren and Stefan Kozlov will square off in the quarter of the Sarasota Challenger for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tennys Sandgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tennys Sandgren is the pick to win this match.
Tennys Sandgren -> 1.82
Stefan Kozlov -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Tennys Sandgren vs. Stefan Kozlov
This will be the 8th time that Tennys Sandgren and Stefan Kozlov square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Kozlov (see full H2H stats), but Sandgren has a winning record of 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Sandgren won 7-5 6-3 in the final in the Las Vegas Challenger back in 2022.
Tennys Sandgren
11 - 6win/loss
260
41
LWLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-9 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-25 | 20-19 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 19-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Sandgren got to the quarter after beating Thai Kwiatkowski 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Dmitry Popko 6-2 1-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Tennys defeated Popko (6-2 1-6 6-2). During the match, Sandgren scored 70 points vs Popko’s 66. Tennys was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sandgren scored 7 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Tennys Sandgren lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sandgren put 56% of his first serves in, winning 84% (32/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (11/30) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Popko 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sandgren has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Sandgren has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (288-225). 2-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sandgren has a compiled 59-50 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Tennys has a composed 10-6 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Stefan Kozlov
21 - 10win/loss
451
103
LLWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 4-3 | 17-8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 594, Stefan got to the quarter after defeating Arthur Gea 6-4 7-65, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-3 7-610, Denis Kudla 6-2 4-6 6-2 and Ethan Quinn 6-2 5-7 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Stefan defeated Quinn (6-2 5-7 6-4). During the match Kozlov scored 95 points vs Quinn’s 88. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Kozlov wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 8 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 71% of his first serves in, winning 61% (43/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Quinn 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Kozlov’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Kigali 1 Challenger.
The American has an overall 21-9 win-loss record in 2024, 14-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sandgren | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 101 |
| Pts | 168-152 | 354-307 |
| Total Points | 320 | 661 |
| Winners | 70 | 144 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Sandgren played 2 matches while Kozlov competed in 4 matches. Kozlov started his run from the qualifications while Sandgren had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tennys Sandgren dropped 2 sets, while Stefan Kozlov lost 2 sets. Sandgren has played 4 set(s) less than Kozlov (6 vs 10). Therefore, Sandgren played 51 games less than Kozlov. The American scored 70 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kozlov recorded 144 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sandgren | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 87/156 | 223/320 |
| %1st in | 56% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 70/87 | 144/223 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 30/69 | 45/97 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 46% |
Sandgren blasted 15 aces (7.5 per match). Kozlov managed to score 6 aces (1.5 per match). Sandgren won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kozlov won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sandgren | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 22 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 22/46 |
| % Converted | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded | 7 | 28 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 43% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 14 |
The American broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Tennys surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Stefan broke his opponents 22 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sandgren | ||||
| R1 Kwiatkowski |
R2 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 | 50 | |
| pts | 98-86 | 70-66 | 168-152 | |
| Total points | 184 | 136 | 320 | |
| Winners | 38 | 32 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 49/88 | 38/68 | 87/156 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/49 | 32/38 | 70/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 84% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/39 | 11/30 | 30/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 37% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/6 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Kozlov | ||||||
| Q1 Gea |
Q3 Adrian |
R1 Kudla |
R2 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 6-3 7-610 | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 26 | 30 | 101 | |
| pts | 76-72 | 85-69 | 98-78 | 95-88 | 354-307 | |
| Total points | 148 | 154 | 176 | 183 | 661 | |
| Winners | 33 | 31 | 37 | 43 | 144 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% | 38% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 51/67 | 48/75 | 54/79 | 70/99 | 223/320 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 64% | 68% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 33/51 | 31/48 | 37/54 | 43/70 | 144/223 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | 69% | 61% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/16 | 13/27 | 13/25 | 15/29 | 45/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 25% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/9 | 6/19 | 6/9 | 22/46 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 67% | 32% | 67% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 28 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 2/6 | 6/9 | 6/10 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 33% | 67% | 60% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
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