Daria Kasatkina and Danielle Rose Collins will square off in the final of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Credit One Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Danielle Rose Collins is the pick to win this match.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.38
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.05
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Danielle Rose Collins
This will be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Danielle Rose Collins fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Kasatkina (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Collins won 6-3 6-7(10) 6-1 in the final in San Jose back in 2021.
Highlights Danielle Rose Collins vs Daria Kasatkina – San Jose 08-August-2021
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Kasatkina reached the final after defeating Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 0-6 6-1, Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-4, Jaqueline Cristian 6-74 6-2 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 6-4 4-6 7-65.
In the semifinal, Kasatkina defeated Pegula (6-4 4-6 7-65).During the match, Kasatkina scored less points (4) than Pegula. In fact, the world no. 11 won 112 points vs Pegula’s. That means that Kasatkina was more focused during the important points. Darya was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 8 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 71% of her first serves in, winning 52% (38/73) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Pegula 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (333-192). 4-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has a composed 117-49 record in the last years on clay.
Darya’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide and Abu Dhabi.
Darya has an overall 16-8 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Danielle Rose Collins
26 - 7win/loss
11
7
LLLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-17 | 20-10 | 19-5 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the American reached the final after beating Paula Badosa Gibert 6-1 6-4, Ons Jabeur 6-3 1-6 6-3, Sloane Stephens 6-2 6-2, Elise Mertens 6-3 6-4 and Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Collins had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-3 6-3). During the match Collins scored 64 points vs Sakkari’s 47. Collins was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Collins managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Danielle Rose Collins was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Collins broke Sakkari 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Collins has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Miami where she overcame Elena Rybakina in the final 7-5 6-3.
The American has an overall 25-7 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 95 |
| Pts | 365-337 | 344-263 |
| Total Points | 702 | 607 |
| Winners | 118 | 124 |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% |
Kasatkina played 4 matches while Collins competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daria Kasatkina conceded 3 sets, while Danielle Rose Collins lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Collins have played the same amount of sets 11. However, Kasatkina played 7 games more than Collins. The Russian scored 118 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 124 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 219/338 | 177/315 |
| %1st in | 65% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 118/219 | 124/177 |
| %1st pts | 54% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 55/119 | 79/138 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 57% |
Kasatkina fired 8 aces (2 per match). Collins fired 19 aces (3.8 per match). Kasatkina won 54% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 32 | 21 |
| Converted | 32/56 | 21/33 |
| % Converted | 57% | 64% |
| Conceded | 44 | 33 |
| Saved | 21 | 24 |
| % Saved | 48% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 23 | 9 |
Darya broke her opponents 32 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered her serve 23 times and she saved 48% of the break points that she conceded. Danielle broke her opponents 21 times with a 64% conversion rate. Danielle conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||||
| R2 Krueger |
R3 Kalinina |
1/4 Cristian |
1/2 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 0-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-74 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 30 | 33 | 102 | |
| pts | 79-77 | 66-48 | 108-96 | 112-116 | 365-337 | |
| Total points | 156 | 114 | 204 | 228 | 702 | |
| Winners | 30 | 15 | 35 | 38 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 23% | 32% | 34% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 52/85 | 32/54 | 62/96 | 73/103 | 219/338 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 59% | 65% | 71% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 30/52 | 15/32 | 35/62 | 38/73 | 118/219 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 47% | 56% | 52% | 54% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 10/22 | 16/34 | 13/30 | 55/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 45% | 47% | 43% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 32 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 9/11 | 10/20 | 8/13 | 32/56 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 82% | 50% | 62% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 44 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 3/8 | 7/13 | 3/11 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 38% | 54% | 27% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | |
| Collins | |||||||
| R1 Badosa |
R2 Jabeur |
R3 Stephens |
1/4 Mertens |
1/2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 1-6 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 95 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 90-86 | 62-42 | 63-44 | 64-47 | 344-263 | |
| Total points | 109 | 176 | 104 | 107 | 111 | 607 | |
| Winners | 22 | 27 | 23 | 28 | 24 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 30% | 37% | 44% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 30/58 | 49/83 | 30/58 | 37/60 | 31/56 | 177/315 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 59% | 52% | 62% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 27/49 | 23/30 | 28/37 | 24/31 | 124/177 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 55% | 77% | 76% | 77% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 20/34 | 18/28 | 12/23 | 14/25 | 79/138 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 59% | 64% | 52% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 4/10 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 21/33 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 40% | 80% | 80% | 57% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 33 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 8/12 | 4/4 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLWL
LLLLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
