Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the final of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.5
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 2.6
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 4th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Berrettini won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Naples back in 2022.
Roberto Carballes Baena
9 - 10win/loss
57
49
LLLWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, Carballes Baena reached the final after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-2 2-0 ret., Daniel Evans 6-4 7-63, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-4 6-2). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 65 points vs Kotov’s 48. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena fired 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 73% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. Roberto broke Kotov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roberto has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (354-279). 5-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carballes Baena has a compiled 306-200 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Carballes Baena’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marrakech.
Carballes Baena has an overall 9-9 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135, Matteo got to the final after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-1, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 4-6 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 7-65 and Mariano Navone 6-74 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal against Navone, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 107 points vs Navone’s 86. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 77% (50/65) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Navone 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Phoenix Challenger.
Berrettini has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marrakech
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 96 |
| Pts | 288-231 | 328-273 |
| Total Points | 519 | 601 |
| Winners | 126 | 160 |
| %Winners | 44% | 49% |
Both Carballes Baena and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Carballes Baena and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Carballes Baena played 15 games less than Berrettini. Roberto scored 126 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo scored 160 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 173/248 | 203/284 |
| %1st in | 70% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 126/173 | 160/203 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 47/75 | 39/81 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 48% |
Carballes Baena recorded 6 aces (1.5 per match). Berrettini scored 22 aces (5.5 per match). Carballes Baena won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 15 |
| Converted | 11/32 | 15/38 |
| % Converted | 34% | 39% |
| Conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Saved | 12 | 8 |
| % Saved | 80% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Roberto broke his opponents 11 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||||
| R1 Gigante |
R2 Evans |
1/4 Moreno De Alboran |
1/2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 2-0 ret. | 6-4 7-63 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 10 | 23 | 30 | 18 | 81 | |
| pts | 41-22 | 85-76 | 97-85 | 65-48 | 288-231 | |
| Total points | 63 | 161 | 182 | 113 | 519 | |
| Winners | 12 | 41 | 45 | 28 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 48% | 46% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 14/25 | 57/83 | 59/81 | 43/59 | 173/248 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 69% | 73% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 12/14 | 41/57 | 45/59 | 28/43 | 126/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 72% | 76% | 65% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 14/26 | 14/22 | 11/16 | 47/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 54% | 64% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/8 | 2/9 | 4/6 | 11/32 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 22% | 67% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/7 | 0/1 | 6/7 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 86% | 0% | 86% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Berrettini | ||||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Munar Clar |
1/4 Sonego |
1/2 Navone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 7-65 | 6-74 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 22 | 30 | 96 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 86-85 | 72-60 | 107-86 | 328-273 | |
| Total points | 105 | 171 | 132 | 193 | 601 | |
| Winners | 21 | 43 | 46 | 50 | 160 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 50% | 64% | 47% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/45 | 58/85 | 55/68 | 65/86 | 203/284 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 68% | 81% | 76% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 43/58 | 46/55 | 50/65 | 160/203 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 74% | 84% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 12/27 | 6/13 | 11/21 | 39/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 44% | 46% | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/13 | 1/4 | 5/12 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 31% | 25% | 42% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
