Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Orlando Luz will clash against each other in the quarter of the Florianopolis Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.37
Orlando Luz -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Orlando Luz
This will be the 3rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Orlando Luz play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ugo Carabelli and Luz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Ugo Carabelli won 6-2 6-4 in the 1st round in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger back in 2022.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
25 - 7win/loss
97
91
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Luis Britto 6-2 ret., Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-5 7-65, Nicolas Zanellato 6-1 6-76 6-0 and Geoffrey Blancaneaux 7-5 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Blancaneaux (7-5 6-1). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 66 points vs Blancaneaux’s 53. Camilo was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 62% of his first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Blancaneaux 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (312-175). 22-6 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate283-150 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he overcame Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
The Argentine has an overall 24-7 win-loss record in 2024, 22-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Orlando Luz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-27 | 1-3 | 25-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-21 | 0-1 | 34-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-28 | 0-2 | 40-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 335, Luz reached the quarter after defeating Carlos Sanchez Jover 7-5 6-1 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-3 7-65.
In the 2nd round, Luz had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-3 7-65). During the match Luz scored 77 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 66. Luz was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Luz scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Orlando Luz was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (19/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Orlando was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Moura Monteiro twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Orlando hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Luz has an aggregate 12-7 win-loss record in 2024, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 41 |
| Pts | 279-219 | 142-118 |
| Total Points | 498 | 260 |
| Winners | 113 | 53 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Ugo Carabelli played 4 matches while Luz competed in 2 matches. Ugo Carabelli started his run from the qualifications while Luz had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set while Orlando Luz hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 5 sets more than Luz (9 vs 4). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 37 games more than Luz. Camilo scored 113 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Luz scored 53 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 171/238 | 70/122 |
| %1st in | 72% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 113/171 | 53/70 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 41/67 | 29/52 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 56% |
Ugo Carabelli scored 6 aces (1.5 per match). Luz bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Luz won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 7 |
| Converted | 20/32 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 63% | 54% |
| Conceded | 17 | 5 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 59% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 3 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 20 times with a 63% conversion rate. Camilo dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||||
| Q1 Britto |
Q3 Carlos Prado Angelo |
R1 Zanellato |
R2 Blancaneaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 ret. | 7-5 7-65 | 6-1 6-76 6-0 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 78 | |
| pts | 35-22 | 85-82 | 93-62 | 66-53 | 279-219 | |
| Total points | 57 | 167 | 155 | 119 | 498 | |
| Winners | 14 | 42 | 36 | 21 | 113 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 19/24 | 64/90 | 55/71 | 33/53 | 171/238 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 71% | 77% | 62% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 14/19 | 42/64 | 36/55 | 21/33 | 113/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 66% | 65% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/5 | 12/26 | 13/16 | 12/20 | 41/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 46% | 81% | 60% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/9 | 8/12 | 6/7 | 20/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 67% | 86% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/9 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 33% | 60% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Luz | ||||||
| R1 Sanchez |
R2 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 7-65 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 41 | |||
| pts | 65-52 | 77-66 | 142-118 | |||
| Total points | 117 | 143 | 260 | |||
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 53 | |||
| %Winners | 37% | 38% | 37% | |||
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |||
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| 1st in | 30/55 | 40/67 | 70/122 | |||
| % 1st in | 55% | 60% | 57% | |||
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 29/40 | 53/70 | |||
| % 1st pts | 80% | 73% | 76% | |||
| 2nd pts | 10/25 | 19/27 | 29/52 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 70% | 56% | |||
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Converted | 5/11 | 2/2 | 7/13 | |||
| Converted % | 45% | 100% | 54% | |||
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Saved | 0/2 | 2/3 | 2 | |||
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 17% | |||
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Orlando LuzLuz – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
